Jefferson Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 22 15 37
2 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 20 19 39
3 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 18 49 67
4 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 45 38 83
5 Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 36 53 89
6 American University American University Eagles 51 42 93
7 University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 60 38 98
8 Nittany Lions Nittany Lions Nittany Lions 80 81 161
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 1 2 2 3 3 1 4 1 1 18 Marco Centanaro Garcia '23 [1-5]
Alexandros Vikas '22 [6-9]
Luca Bonanno '25 [1-5]
Laura Rhodes '24 [6-9]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 3 1 1 2 1 3 1 5 3 20 Daniel Hodges '22
Ellie Mcfall '24
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 2 3 3 1 2 5 2 2 2 22 Reid Shanabrook '22
Ava Walker '23
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 4 4 7 4 5 2 3 3 4 36 Alex Walters '22 [1-9]
Ryan Delaney '22 [1-5]
Elizabeth Leo '24 [6-9]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 6 5 5 5 4 4 5 6 5 45 Sam Dutilly '24 [1-9]
Caroline Hearle '22 [1-4]
Parker Bunting '22 [5-9]
American University American University Eagles 5 6 4 7 6 6 6 4 7 51 John Spiccioli '22 [1-7, 9]
Jacob Juros '24 [8]
Anika Liner '25 [1-2, 9]
Charles Degen '23 [3-5, 8]
Julia Kane '25 [6-7]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 7 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 60 Aidan Reilly '24
Caroline Siedlecki '23
Nittany Lions Nittany Lions Nittany Lions DNS DNS DNS DNS 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS 80
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 3 1 15 Aidan Young '24
Adam Ginsburg '25
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 2 6 1 1 1 2 2 2 19 David Grace '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Luke Hayes '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Emily Learn '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Shelby Svilich '23 [3-4, 9]
Gail Schneider '25 [5-6]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 5 4 2 3 4 6 3 6 5 38 Olivia Kearns '24
Julia Lepre '22
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 6 5 5 4 5 2 6 1 4 38 Julia Hudson '24 [1-9]
Kathleen Chellman '22 [1-4]
Roger Clanton '22 [5-9]
American University American University Eagles 3 3 7 6 6 4 5 5 3 42 Anika Liner '25 [1-9]
Jacob Juros '24 [1-2, 4-8]
Julia Kane '25 [3]
Charles Degen '23 [9]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 7 7 3 DNF 3 5 4 4 7 49 Patrick Mcbride '25 [1-2]
Lydia Sweeney '25 [3-4]
Hannah Mercurio '24 [5-8]
Connor Lothrop '24 [9]
Jack Gentile '25 [1-2]
Elizabeth Harrington '22 [3-4]
Katherine Newton '24 [5-8]
Jonas Mendes '23 [9]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 7 6 53 Clare Wagner '22 [1-4, 7-9]
Cecilia Johnson '25 [5-6]
Elizabeth Leo '24 [1-4]
Matt Mckeon '25 [5-6]
Chaz Hijeck '25 [7-9]
Nittany Lions Nittany Lions Nittany Lions DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 81
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles113355771
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals224466882
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains335577113
Nittany LionsNittany Lions Nittany Lions446688224
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Panthers557711335
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos668822446
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies771133557
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe882244668

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles224466882
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals335577113
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains446688224
Nittany LionsNittany Lions Nittany Lions557711335
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Panthers668822446
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos771133557
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies882244668
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe113355771
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University John Spiccioli '22 [1-7, 9]
Jacob Juros '24 [8]
Anika Liner '25 [1-2, 9]
Charles Degen '23 [3-5, 8]
Julia Kane '25 [6-7]
Eagles Anika Liner '25 [1-9] Jacob Juros '24 [1-2, 4-8]
Julia Kane '25 [3]
Charles Degen '23 [9]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Alex Walters '22 [1-9] Ryan Delaney '22 [1-5]
Elizabeth Leo '24 [6-9]
Cardinals Clare Wagner '22 [1-4, 7-9]
Cecilia Johnson '25 [5-6]
Elizabeth Leo '24 [1-4]
Matt Mckeon '25 [5-6]
Chaz Hijeck '25 [7-9]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Daniel Hodges '22 Ellie Mcfall '24
Captains David Grace '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Luke Hayes '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Emily Learn '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Shelby Svilich '23 [3-4, 9]
Gail Schneider '25 [5-6]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Aidan Reilly '24 Caroline Siedlecki '23
Panthers Olivia Kearns '24 Julia Lepre '22
University of Virginia University of Virginia Marco Centanaro Garcia '23 [1-5]
Alexandros Vikas '22 [6-9]
Luca Bonanno '25 [1-5]
Laura Rhodes '24 [6-9]
Wahoos Patrick Mcbride '25 [1-2]
Lydia Sweeney '25 [3-4]
Hannah Mercurio '24 [5-8]
Connor Lothrop '24 [9]
Jack Gentile '25 [1-2]
Elizabeth Harrington '22 [3-4]
Katherine Newton '24 [5-8]
Jonas Mendes '23 [9]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Reid Shanabrook '22 Ava Walker '23
Hokies Aidan Young '24 Adam Ginsburg '25
William and Mary William and Mary Sam Dutilly '24 [1-9] Caroline Hearle '22 [1-4]
Parker Bunting '22 [5-9]
Tribe Julia Hudson '24 [1-9] Kathleen Chellman '22 [1-4]
Roger Clanton '22 [5-9]

Conditions — 10/16/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1007.1 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From WSW (254°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine6.3 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1007.1 hPa Rain0.15 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · NW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Virginia: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.21 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Virginia by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Virginia, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →