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Wisco Womens

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers Red 66
2 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers White 80
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers Black 84
4 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 115
5 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 119
6 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 176
7 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 197
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles A 6 6 2 1 6 1 1 1 24 Brigit Barr '23
Jenna Kozal '24
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers Red B 10 2 3 4 2 4 5 2 32 Ella Reinemann '23
Ellie Murphy '24
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers Red A 1 4 6 7 3 3 7 3 34 Hailey Feinzig '22
Kate Thickens '23
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers White A 8 1 8 3 1 2 4 10 37 Marissa Tegeder '25
Sophie Lusty '24
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers Black A 4 5 4 2 7 6 2 8 38 Katherine Higgins '22
Grace Tarantino '25
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines A 3 7 1 5 4 8 10 4 42 Emily Pytell '25
Abigail Paul '25
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers White B 2 8 5 8 5 7 3 5 43 Annabel Bridges '23
Mary Daniels '24
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers Black B 5 3 7 6 8 5 6 6 46 Nicole Giuliani '24 [1-8]
Kerstin Hyer '25 [1-6]
Catherine Gross '24 [7-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines B 12 13 9 9 9 BKD 8 7 77 Anna Brieden '24 [1-8]
Abigail Baker '25 [1-2, 7-8]
Sarah Seto '24 [3-6]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini A 9 9 10 11 10 9 11 11 80 Bahda Hoang '23
Melanie Gainer '22
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats A 13 10 DNF 12 11 12 9 9 91 Jenna Spray '23
Annabel Edwards '24
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles B 11 12 11 10 13 10 12 12 91 Etain Mckinney '22
Anna Donnelly '24
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini B 7 14 12 14 12 11 13 13 96 Katie Benstead '23
Anne Farah Usman '24
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats B 14 11 13 13 14 13 14 14 106 Rachel Spahn '24
Alison Rosengren '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini6677991010
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles22446677
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines77664422
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats442218181717
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers Black1111121213131414
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers Red99101011111212
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers White1010997766

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini1414131312121111
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles12121111101099
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines1515161617171818
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats1313141415151616
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers Black1818171716161515
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers Red1616151514141313
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers White171718182244

Conditions — 10/23/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1018.0 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 51°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 4.8 kn
Gusts to 11.7 kn
From N (350°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover25% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1018.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 4 kn · NE 11 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wisconsin: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.18 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wisconsin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (41 labelled days at Wisconsin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →