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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 15 19 34
2 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 42 16 58
3 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 34 47 81
4 Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 40 50 90
5 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 46 50 96
6 Cleveland State University Cleveland State University Vikes 54 49 103
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 15 Luke Koerschner '23 [1-8, 11]
Dominique Delano '23 [9-10]
Aidan King '25 [1-8, 11]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 4 3 2 3 2 2 5 5 2 2 4 34 Iain Mcsweeney '25 [1-11]
Kenny Tran '24 [1-4]
Nicholas Armantrout '26 [5-6]
John Sokoloski '26 [7-11]
Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 3 2 4 1 4 5 3 4 5 4 5 40
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 2 4 5 6 6 3 1 2 6 5 2 42 Nok In Chan '24
James Miller '23
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 6 6 3 4 5 4 4 1 4 6 3 46 Alexandra Knauer '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Margaret Swasey '23 [3-4, 7-11]
Alexa Quinn '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Remington Taylor '25 [3-4, 7-11]
Cleveland State University Cleveland State University Vikes 5 5 6 5 3 6 6 6 3 3 6 54 Joe Kenealy '22
Zak Hamil '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 2 16 Camille Imbler '25
Kai Redler '25
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 1 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 19 Dominique Delano '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Miller '26 [3-4, 7-11]
Corinne Nedeau '22 [1-2, 11]
Luke Shehigian '26 [3-4, 7-10]
Teddy Prokop '23 [5-6]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 4 4 2 3 3 4 4 6 6 6 5 47 Alex Schock '25 [1-6]
Nicholas Silecky '25 [7-11]
Cleveland State University Cleveland State University Vikes 3 5 5 5 5 5 6 4 4 3 4 49 Katie Malchack '25
Logan Chapman '25
Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 5 3 6 6 4 3 5 5 5 5 3 50
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 6 6 4 4 6 6 3 2 3 4 6 50 Sophia Malloy '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholas Barillari '26 [3-4, 7-11]
Holden Johansen '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Tiegan Witte '24 [3-4, 7-11]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Cleveland State UniversityCleveland State University Vikes77226677
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks11445511
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans22667722
BobcatsBobcats Bobcats44551144
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers66772266
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets55114455

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Cleveland State UniversityCleveland State University Vikes11445511
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks22667722
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans44551144
BobcatsBobcats Bobcats66772266
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers55114455
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets77226677
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cleveland State University Cleveland State University Joe Kenealy '22 Zak Hamil '26
Vikes Katie Malchack '25 Logan Chapman '25
Miami University Miami University Alexandra Knauer '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Margaret Swasey '23 [3-4, 7-11]		 Alexa Quinn '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Remington Taylor '25 [3-4, 7-11]
Red Hawks Sophia Malloy '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholas Barillari '26 [3-4, 7-11]		 Holden Johansen '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Tiegan Witte '24 [3-4, 7-11]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Luke Koerschner '23 [1-8, 11]
Dominique Delano '23 [9-10]		 Aidan King '25 [1-8, 11]
Spartans Dominique Delano '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Miller '26 [3-4, 7-11]		 Corinne Nedeau '22 [1-2, 11]
Luke Shehigian '26 [3-4, 7-10]
Teddy Prokop '23 [5-6]
Purdue University Purdue University Nok In Chan '24 James Miller '23
Boilermakers Camille Imbler '25 Kai Redler '25
University of Toledo University of Toledo Iain Mcsweeney '25 [1-11] Kenny Tran '24 [1-4]
Nicholas Armantrout '26 [5-6]
John Sokoloski '26 [7-11]
Rockets Alex Schock '25 [1-6]
Nicholas Silecky '25 [7-11]

Conditions — 09/10/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1018.0 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From SSE (148°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine7.9 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1018.0 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn · S 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Miami University: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.19 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Miami University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Miami University, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →