SAISA Women's Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University LadyPack 3 5 8
2 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 8 6 14
3 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 13 8 21
4 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 7 15 22
5 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 15 15 30
6 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 17 14 31
7 Blue Devils Blue Devils Blue Devils 27 27 54
8 Tritons Tritons Tritons 27 27 54
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University LadyPack 1 1 1 3 Olivia Sowa '24
Annika Milstien '25
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 2 2 3 7 Phoebe Whitbeck '23
Evelyn Earnhardt '25
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 3 3 2 8 Sandra Heilshorn '23
Taylor Ferrarone '26
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 4 4 13 Isabelle Pobanz '23
Charlotte Meyers '25
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 4 6 5 15 Kathleen Perry '24
Abigail Lydick '24
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 6 5 6 17 Abigail Austin '24
Alexandra Brown '23
Blue Devils Blue Devils Blue Devils DNS DNS DNS 27
Tritons Tritons Tritons DNS DNS DNS 27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University LadyPack 2 1 2 5 Isabella Du Plessis '24
Weatherley Tripp '23
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 3 2 1 6 Julianna Skoglund '23
Danielle Ketner '26
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 4 3 8 Lauren Mellinger '25
Shannon Mcgrane '23
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 6 3 5 14
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 4 5 6 15 Samantha Piccerillo '25
Paige Arneson '25
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 5 6 4 15 Felicity Davies '23
Sydney Mitchell '23
Blue Devils Blue Devils Blue Devils DNS DNS DNS 27
Tritons Tritons Tritons DNS DNS DNS 27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Blue DevilsBlue Devils Blue Devils111
TritonsTritons Tritons222
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles333
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs666
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets444
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes777
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University LadyPack555
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks888

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Blue DevilsBlue Devils Blue Devils222
TritonsTritons Tritons333
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles444
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs777
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets555
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes888
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University LadyPack666
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks111

Conditions — 09/24/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From S (176°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover68% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1019.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at North Carolina State: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.29 ± 0.29)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at North Carolina State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at North Carolina State).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →