Sodus Bay Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 1 7 9 16
2 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 2 16 15 31
3 University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 22 21 43
4 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 24 28 52
5 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 31 21 52
6 Gannon University Gannon University Knights 36 35 71
7 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 34 39 73
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 7 Cameron Turner '24
William Siegener '23
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 2 4 2 1 2 3 4 16 Jonah Nelson '27
Aoife Cannon '22
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 2 6 3 3 5 3 22 Abby Eckert '25
Jordan Lawrence '24
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 3 3 6 4 2 6 24 Jared Cohen '25
Charlie Bullock '25
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 6 5 5 7 6 2 31 Bobby Dodge '26
Brady Watkins '24
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 5 4 7 6 7 5 34 Mary Morris '26
Sophia Fonseca '26
Gannon University Gannon University Knights DNS DNS 4 5 4 7 36 Dima Murtada '23
Maila Akiba '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 9 Elliot Tindall '24
James Mercer '27
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 2 3 2 2 4 2 2 15 Kristen Mcdonough '25
Hayden Robertson '26
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 2 3 3 6 4 3 21 Kasym Qazi '24
Joseph Dapello '24
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 4 1 6 3 3 4 21 Makenna Labor '25
Lauren Harries '23
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 5 6 5 2 5 5 28 Brian Zagalsky '25
Umd Test '25
Gannon University Gannon University Knights 6 5 4 7 7 6 35 Walter Kivala '26
Kira Rios '25
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 7 7 7 5 6 7 39 John Colby '20
Jacob Howlet '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2022 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Gannon UniversityGannon University Knights113355
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps661133
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions224466
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers 1335577
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers 2446611
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets772244
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange557722

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Gannon UniversityGannon University Knights224466
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps772244
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions335577
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers 1446611
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers 2557722
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets113355
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange661133

Conditions — 10/15/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1009.5 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.4 kn
avg  ·  max 16.8 kn
Gusts to 41.8 kn
From SW (219°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover59% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1009.5 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 15 kn · S 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rochester: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.50 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rochester by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Rochester, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →