Navigate

Cazenovia Fall Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 1 18 20 38
2 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 19 20 39
3 Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 15 25 40
4 University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 39 20 59
5 Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 35 43 78
6 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 2 50 55 105
7 Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 55 54 109
8 Indiana University of Pennsylvania Indiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks 59 57 116
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 2 15 Anthony Farrar '26
Benita Bowden '25
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 1 2 2 3 4 1 1 2 3 18 Alexa Whitman '26 [1-8]
Franny Demshak-Geddes '25 [1-6]
Lauren Grabski '25 [7-8]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 3 5 2 3 2 2 1 1 19 Cole Bender '26
Hayden Graff '27
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 4 3 4 2 7 4 6 5 35 Jack Pearlson '27 [1-5]
Hurley White '24 [6-8]
Isabelle Lawson '27 [1-5]
Rafael Sanchez '26 [6-8]
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 7 4 6 5 4 5 4 4 39 Kasym Qazi '24 [1-8]
Nicholas Gould '25 [1-4]
Grace Yang '25 [5-6]
Asa Guldbrandsen '26 [7-8]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 2 5 6 8 7 6 6 5 7 50 Braden Haulman '26 [1-2]
Anselm Neville-Rhody '27 [3-8]
Ashton Sanford '25 [1-2]
Grayden Mitchell '27 [3-8]
Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 6 8 5 6 5 7 DNS DNS 55 Andrew Patterson '26
Gabriella Thomas '26
Indiana University of Pennsylvania Indiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks 8 7 7 8 8 8 7 6 59 Benjamin Swanson '24 [1-5]
Serena Aumick '26 [6-8]
Aurora Beaucheane '26 [1-5]
Isabel Allerheiligen '26 [6-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 1 1 1 2 3 3 2 5 3 20 Caitlin Delessio '27
Henry Ihle '25
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 2 4 3 1 2 1 3 4 20 Abby Eckert '25 [1-8]
Josephine Freis '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Grace Yang '25 [3-4]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 3 3 4 4 1 3 1 1 20 Elliot Tindall '24 [1-4]
Kayla Maguire '26 [5-8]
John Wynne '25 [1-4]
Kristen Mcdonough '25 [5-8]
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 5 5 1 2 4 4 2 2 25 Bryce Nill '26
Chandler Debarros '24
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 6 6 7 5 5 5 4 5 43 Jack Pearlson '27 [1-5]
Hurley White '24 [6-8]
Isabelle Lawson '27 [1-5]
Rafael Sanchez '26 [6-8]
Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 4 2 5 7 DNS DNS DNS DNS 54 Alexander Levine '25
Allen Underwood Iii '25
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 2 7 8 6 6 7 6 6 DNF 55 Alice Kilkelly '26 [1-3]
Collin Ross '25 [4-6]
Gabriella Maldonado '25 [7-8]
Johannah Rennert '26 [1-6]
Ronak Parida '24 [7-8]
Indiana University of Pennsylvania Indiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks 8 7 8 8 6 7 7 6 57 Benjamin Swanson '24 [1-5]
Serena Aumick '26 [6-8]
Aurora Beaucheane '26 [1-5]
Isabel Allerheiligen '26 [6-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders11111313181822
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Continentals121214141144
Indiana University of PennsylvaniaIndiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks13131818221111
Penn State BehrendPenn State Behrend Sea Lions141411441212
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers18182211111313
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets441212141411
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange 1114412121414
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange 222111113131818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders121214141144
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Continentals13131818221111
Indiana University of PennsylvaniaIndiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks141411441212
Penn State BehrendPenn State Behrend Sea Lions18182211111313
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers114412121414
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets11111313181822
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange 122111113131818
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange 2441212141411

Conditions — 09/23/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1023.6 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 14.4 kn
From ENE (71°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.8 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1023.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · E 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Syracuse: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.43 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Syracuse by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Syracuse, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →