Hoosierpalooza

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 17 6 23
2 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 8 17 25
3 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 21 18 39
4 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 21 20 41
5 Saint Mary's College Saint Mary's College Belles 23 29 52
6 Bearcats Bearcats Bearcats 42 42 84
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 1 1 1 1 2 2 8 Domenico Sacchetti '27
Molly Sheridan '25
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 5 3 2 3 1 3 17 Zander West '26 [1-6]
Conor Daniels '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Anen Ricketts '27 [3-4]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 2 4 4 5 4 21 Joseph Opferman '27
Arianna Denning '24
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 3 4 5 5 3 1 21 Jenna Drobny '27 [1-6]
Karmen Pletikosic '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Oscar Arenas '25 [3-4]
Saint Mary's College Saint Mary's College Belles 4 5 3 2 4 5 23 Makayla Perry '24
Charlotte Mcilnay '27
Bearcats Bearcats Bearcats DNS DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS 42
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Elizabeth Groustra '26 [1-6]
Anya Gustafson '25 [1-4]
William Beckman '25 [5-6]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 2 2 5 2 2 4 17 Chris Li '25
Hannah Pickard '24
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 3 4 2 4 3 2 18 Griffin Boothby '25 [1-6]
Devin O'Connor '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Aaron Herring '27 [3-4]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4 3 3 3 4 3 20 Nolan Hammerschmidt '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Henrique Oliveira '27 [3-4]
Alejandro Ceron '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Clare Corvera '27 [3-4]
Saint Mary's College Saint Mary's College Belles 5 5 4 5 5 5 29 Emmalyn Holmquist '26 [1-6]
Sailor Somerville '26 [1-4]
Brooke Greer '26 [5-6]
Bearcats Bearcats Bearcats DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 42
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
BearcatsBearcats Bearcats446622
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini551133
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers113355
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks224466
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish662244
Saint Mary's CollegeSaint Mary's College Belles335511

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
BearcatsBearcats Bearcats551133
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini662244
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers224466
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks335511
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish113355
Saint Mary's CollegeSaint Mary's College Belles446622
School / Team SkipperCrew
Indiana University Indiana University Zander West '26 [1-6] Conor Daniels '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Anen Ricketts '27 [3-4]
Hoosiers Elizabeth Groustra '26 [1-6] Anya Gustafson '25 [1-4]
William Beckman '25 [5-6]
Miami University Miami University Jenna Drobny '27 [1-6] Karmen Pletikosic '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Oscar Arenas '25 [3-4]
Red Hawks Griffin Boothby '25 [1-6] Devin O'Connor '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Aaron Herring '27 [3-4]
Saint Mary's College Saint Mary's College Makayla Perry '24 Charlotte Mcilnay '27
Belles Emmalyn Holmquist '26 [1-6] Sailor Somerville '26 [1-4]
Brooke Greer '26 [5-6]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Domenico Sacchetti '27 Molly Sheridan '25
Illini Chris Li '25 Hannah Pickard '24
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Joseph Opferman '27 Arianna Denning '24
Fighting Irish Nolan Hammerschmidt '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Henrique Oliveira '27 [3-4]
Alejandro Ceron '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Clare Corvera '27 [3-4]

Conditions — 10/07/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1012.8 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.5 kn
avg  ·  max 11.6 kn
Gusts to 26.6 kn
From W (275°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover47% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1012.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn · W 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Indiana: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.19 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.64 ± 0.33)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Indiana by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Indiana, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →