Kingfisher

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 6 6 12
2 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 19 17 36
3 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 1 17 28 45
4 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 33 22 55
5 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 21 40 61
6 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 2 39 27 66
7 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 2 49 29 78
8 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 1 33 48 81
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Cole Abbott '26
Jackson Adams '27
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 1 2 4 2 4 3 2 17 Alex Day '24
Aidan Kiel '27
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 6 2 4 2 2 3 19 Juhi Desai '25
Conor Daniels '26
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 3 3 3 3 5 4 21 Domenico Sacchetti '27 [1-6]
Madeline Yundt '27 [1-2]
Hannah Pickard '24 [3-6]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 4 7 5 5 6 6 33 Holden Higgins '24
Iris Badezet Delory '27
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 1 5 6 7 6 4 5 33 Megan Rakoczy '25
Emily Edwards '26
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 2 7 5 6 7 7 7 39 Jack Charlton '27
Matthew Remington '25
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 2 8 8 8 8 DNF 8 49 Connor Lawrence '26
Jon Hurley '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Jake Weinstein '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Grace Bray '27 [3-4]
Maddie Fitzgerald '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 2 6 2 3 2 2 17 Daniel De La Vega Iii '25
Tommy Bausano '27
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 4 2 4 5 3 4 22 Carlos Sole '27 [1-6]
Daniel Chen '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Suzanne Sokolowski '25 [3-4]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 2 6 4 3 2 6 6 27 William Moran '26
Brandon Gamboa '27
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 1 3 3 6 6 5 5 28 Henrik Stjernfeldt '27 [1-6]
Sam Faber '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Christopher Quinney '27 [3-4]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 2 5 5 5 7 4 3 29 Gavin Holmes '27
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 7 7 7 4 8 7 40 Georgios Akkogiounoglou '24 [1-2]
Logan Hoang '27 [3-4]
Sebastien Welters '24 [5-6]
Sebastien Welters '24 [1-2]
Molly Brennan '27 [3-4]
Muhammad Amir Hafizuddin Rozain '24 [5-6]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 1 8 8 8 DNS 7 8 48 Caleb Prugh '26
Kirsten Tiedeman '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons668811
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini779922
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers113366
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats224477
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers 1336688
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers 2447799
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos 1881133
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos 2992244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons779922
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini881133
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers224477
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats336688
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers 1447799
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers 2668811
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos 1992244
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos 2113366

Conditions — 10/28/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1024.4 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From NE (35°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover84% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1024.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn · N 11 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Illinois: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.69 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Illinois by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Illinois, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →