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Miami Trophy Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 11 5 16
2 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 17 11 28
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 14 16 30
4 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 19 25 44
5 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 27 18 45
6 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 20 30 50
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 1 2 2 4 11 Hank Seum '27
Grayson Tella '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 3 3 4 3 14 Luke Justin '25
Colin Molnar '25
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes DSQ 2 4 3 1 17 Jonathan Gleason '25 [1-3]
Brendan Jay '27 [4-5]
Danielle Ketner '26 [1]
Magnus Weissenberger '25 [2-3]
Robin Burger '28 [4-5]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles DNF 4 1 5 2 19 Leopold Seuss '27
Paige Arneson '25
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 3 6 5 1 5 20 Dawson Kohl '27 [1-5]
Leanna Carlson '27 [1-2]
Simone Stolick '27 [3-5]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 4 5 6 6 6 27 Ava Moring '25
Julien Waite '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 1 1 1 1 5 Cole Schweda '27
Joshua Knowles '26
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 2 2 2 3 11 Magnus Weissenberger '25 [1]
Sarah Schuringa '24 [2]
Timothy Hibben '27 [3-5]
Robin Burger '28 [1]
Brady Briggs '27 [2-5]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 4 4 3 3 2 16 Garrett Floerchinger '26
Blake March '27
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 3 3 4 4 4 18 Marco Distel '25
Rebekka Perinne '26
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 5 5 5 5 5 25 Timothy Dolan '25
Suhas Medidi '26
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 6 6 6 6 6 30 Taryn Leverance '25
Nathan Hjort '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles11133
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators44466
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins22244
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes55511
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish33355
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls66622

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles22244
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators55511
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins33355
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes66622
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish44466
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls11133

Conditions — 09/23/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1012.1 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 86°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From ENE (67°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover90% Sunshine8.8 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1012.1 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Miami: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.38 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Miami by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at U. Miami).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →