Sodus Bay Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 1 33 27 60
2 Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 50 21 71
3 Gaels Gaels Gaels 40 36 76
4 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 38 47 85
5 Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 31 67 98
6 University of Toronto University of Toronto True Blue 59 44 103
7 University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 52 69 121
8 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 71 82 153
9 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 2 87 76 163
10 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 95 99 194
11 University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 107 94 201
12 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 117 120 237
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 2 3 2 4 4 8 1 2 4 1 31 Anthony Farrar '26 [1-10]
Benita Bowden '25 [1-4, 7-10]
Hailey Rupp '25 [5-6]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 1 5 7 3 3 6 1 3 1 2 2 33 Cameron Turner '24 [1-10]
Hayden Graff '27 [1-4]
James Mercer '27 [5-10]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 4 2 5 7 2 2 5 6 1 4 38 Jack Merrill '24
Theodore Taylor '25
Gaels Gaels Gaels 3 5 1 1 3 6 4 4 6 7 40
Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 9 6 8 6 1 3 2 9 3 3 50 Alan Becker '27 [1-4]
Ethan Stone '25 [5-10]
Allen Underwood Iii '25 [1-4]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 6 4 4 5 7 4 6 3 8 5 52 Henry Polaski '25
Zander Lai '27
University of Toronto University of Toronto True Blue 7 9 6 2 5 5 7 7 5 6 59 Callum Linegar '26
Lincoln Mac '25
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 8 1 7 8 12 7 8 5 7 8 71 Barrett Lhamon '26
Ryan Galella '27
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 2 1 8 11 10 9 10 9 10 10 9 87 John Wynne '25 [1-10]
Brooke Stankiewicz '25 [1-4]
Abigail Broscius '25 [5-10]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 10 10 9 9 11 9 10 8 9 10 95 Collin Ross '25
Jack Cossari '26
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 11 12 10 11 8 11 11 11 11 11 107 Asa Guldbrandsen '26 [1]
Carlos Lopez '27 [2]
Martin Oka '27 [3-4]
Josephine Freis '25 [5-10]
Carlos Lopez '27 [1, 3-4]
Asa Guldbrandsen '26 [2]
Lydia Levesque '24 [5-10]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 12 11 12 12 10 12 12 12 12 12 117 Nic Delia '25 [1-8]
Sophie Fernandez '26 [9-10]
Liam Fitzgerald '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Kwame Adusei-Poku '27 [3-4, 9-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 2 2 4 4 1 1 1 4 1 1 21 Michael Stewart '25 [1-10]
Mary Powell '27 [1-2, 5-10]
Jackson Strout '24 [3-4]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 1 1 1 1 2 6 6 2 1 5 2 27 Cole Bender '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Kayla Maguire '25 [5-6, 9-10]
Kayla Maguire '25 [1-4]
Kristen Mcdonough '25 [5-10]
Gaels Gaels Gaels 3 4 2 5 3 4 3 3 4 5 36
University of Toronto University of Toronto True Blue 8 6 3 3 2 2 6 8 3 3 44 Maya Mills '27
Charlotte Piper '25
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 5 3 5 1 5 7 DSQ 2 2 4 47 Aidan Lane '24
Wynne Williams '27
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 4 7 6 7 10 9 4 7 7 6 67 Bryce Nill '26 [1-4, 7-10]
Chon In Chan '26 [5-6]
Chandler Debarros '24 [1-4, 7-10]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 7 8 7 6 9 5 7 5 8 7 69 Olivia Kearns '24 [1-10]
Michael Grychowski '27 [1-2, 7-8]
Andrew Shaz '27 [3-6, 9-10]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 2 10 9 11 11 4 3 5 6 9 8 76 Hayden Robertson '26 [1-4]
Margaret Arocho '25 [5-10]
Sadie Goldberg '26 [1-4]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 6 5 9 10 7 10 9 9 6 11 82 Joseph Simpkins '27
Nathan Mascia '26
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 9 10 8 8 11 11 8 10 10 9 94 Joseph Dapello '24 [1-10]
Matias Salinas Pintos '25 [1-4]
Nate Shaffer '26 [5-10]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 11 11 10 9 8 8 10 11 11 10 99 Laura Jayne '25
Braden Haulman '26
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights DNF 12 12 12 12 12 11 12 12 12 120 Kayla Teuscher '26 [1-4, 7-10]
Sophie Fernandez '26 [5-6]
Sophie Fernandez '26 [1-2]
Sebastian Bustamante '26 [3-6]
Matthew Jack '25 [7-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2022 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights991111113355
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red1133557799
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Continentals224466881010
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions44668810101212
Penn State BehrendPenn State Behrend Sea Lions335577991111
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Panthers10101212224466
GaelsGaels Gaels557799111111
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers 166881010121222
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers 2779911111133
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets111111335577
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange88101012122244
University of TorontoUniversity of Toronto True Blue121222446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights10101212224466
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red224466881010
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Continentals335577991111
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions557799111111
Penn State BehrendPenn State Behrend Sea Lions44668810101212
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Panthers111111335577
GaelsGaels Gaels66881010121222
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers 1779911111133
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers 288101012122244
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets121222446688
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange991111113355
University of TorontoUniversity of Toronto True Blue1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cornell University Cornell University Jack Merrill '24 Theodore Taylor '25
Big Red Aidan Lane '24 Wynne Williams '27
Hamilton College Hamilton College Alan Becker '27 [1-4]
Ethan Stone '25 [5-10]
Allen Underwood Iii '25 [1-4]
Continentals Michael Stewart '25 [1-10] Mary Powell '27 [1-2, 5-10]
Jackson Strout '24 [3-4]
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Anthony Farrar '26 [1-10] Benita Bowden '25 [1-4, 7-10]
Hailey Rupp '25 [5-6]
Sea Lions Bryce Nill '26 [1-4, 7-10]
Chon In Chan '26 [5-6]
Chandler Debarros '24 [1-4, 7-10]
Penn State University Penn State University Barrett Lhamon '26 Ryan Galella '27
Nittany Lions Joseph Simpkins '27 Nathan Mascia '26
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Cameron Turner '24 [1-10] Hayden Graff '27 [1-4]
James Mercer '27 [5-10]
Tigers 1 Cole Bender '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Kayla Maguire '25 [5-6, 9-10]
Kayla Maguire '25 [1-4]
Kristen Mcdonough '25 [5-10]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology John Wynne '25 [1-10] Brooke Stankiewicz '25 [1-4]
Abigail Broscius '25 [5-10]
Tigers 2 Hayden Robertson '26 [1-4]
Margaret Arocho '25 [5-10]
Sadie Goldberg '26 [1-4]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Collin Ross '25 Jack Cossari '26
Orange Laura Jayne '25 Braden Haulman '26
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Nic Delia '25 [1-8]
Sophie Fernandez '26 [9-10]
Liam Fitzgerald '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Kwame Adusei-Poku '27 [3-4, 9-10]
Black Knights Kayla Teuscher '26 [1-4, 7-10]
Sophie Fernandez '26 [5-6]
Sophie Fernandez '26 [1-2]
Sebastian Bustamante '26 [3-6]
Matthew Jack '25 [7-10]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Henry Polaski '25 Zander Lai '27
Panthers Olivia Kearns '24 [1-10] Michael Grychowski '27 [1-2, 7-8]
Andrew Shaz '27 [3-6, 9-10]
University of Rochester University of Rochester Asa Guldbrandsen '26 [1]
Carlos Lopez '27 [2]
Martin Oka '27 [3-4]
Josephine Freis '25 [5-10]
Carlos Lopez '27 [1, 3-4]
Asa Guldbrandsen '26 [2]
Lydia Levesque '24 [5-10]
Yellowjackets Joseph Dapello '24 [1-10] Matias Salinas Pintos '25 [1-4]
Nate Shaffer '26 [5-10]
University of Toronto University of Toronto Callum Linegar '26 Lincoln Mac '25
True Blue Maya Mills '27 Charlotte Piper '25

Conditions — 09/30/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1024.2 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.4 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From NNE (15°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1024.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 5 kn · W 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rochester: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rochester by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Rochester, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →