Boiler Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Washington University Washington University Bears 16 22 38
2 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 27 28 55
3 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 38 23 61
4 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 28 40 68
5 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 41 46 87
6 Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 60 51 111
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Washington University Washington University Bears 2 1 3 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 16 Wyatt Tait '27
Yuxin Mou '25
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 5 1 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 27 Emma Hershey '27 [1-10]
Richard Huhn-Powell '27 [1-2, 5-8]
Kayla Decker '27 [3-4, 9-10]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 3 3 2 5 4 4 1 1 3 2 28 Eva Paschke '25
Ava Bradd '26
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 4 2 5 1 2 5 5 5 5 4 38 Alex Day '24 [1-6]
Ayden Sarber '26 [7-10]
Kellie Keane '28 [1-6]
Melania Laubsch '28 [7-10]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 5 4 4 4 5 2 4 4 4 5 41 Jack Charlton '27 [1-10]
Fabian Anez-Broccardo '25 [1-6, 9-10]
Ailey Mcintyre '28 [7-8]
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 60 Piper Luke '26 [1-10]
Madison Koscielski '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jilani Harrison '24 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Washington University Washington University Bears 2 1 1 1 4 3 3 4 1 2 22 Alexandra Adams '28
Madison Sweet '27
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 6 3 3 3 1 2 1 1 2 1 23 Jackson Goehle '28 [1-2]
Silas Hokanson '26 [3-10]
Paul Williams '28 [1-4, 9-10]
Jackson Goehle '28 [5-8]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 2 2 5 2 1 2 5 5 3 28 Alexa Hind '27
Quinn Moore '27
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 4 4 4 2 3 6 4 3 6 4 40 Matthew Schacht '27
Jacob Millman '26
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 3 5 6 6 6 4 5 2 3 6 46 Kate Heaman '28 [1-10]
Gissell Tellez '28 [1-8]
Emmanuel Reyes '27 [9-10]
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 5 6 5 4 5 5 6 6 4 5 51 Adam Bryan '26 [1-10]
Jenna Hannan '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ciara Bryant '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles1133551133
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes2244662244
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers3355113355
Saginaw Valley State UniversitySaginaw Valley State University Cardinals4466224466
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears5511335511
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos6622446622

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles2244662244
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes3355113355
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers4466224466
Saginaw Valley State UniversitySaginaw Valley State University Cardinals5511335511
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears6622446622
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos1133551133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Marquette University Marquette University Eva Paschke '25 Ava Bradd '26
Golden Eagles Matthew Schacht '27 Jacob Millman '26
Ohio State University Ohio State University Emma Hershey '27 [1-10] Richard Huhn-Powell '27 [1-2, 5-8]
Kayla Decker '27 [3-4, 9-10]
Buckeyes Alexa Hind '27 Quinn Moore '27
Purdue University Purdue University Alex Day '24 [1-6]
Ayden Sarber '26 [7-10]
Kellie Keane '28 [1-6]
Melania Laubsch '28 [7-10]
Boilermakers Jackson Goehle '28 [1-2]
Silas Hokanson '26 [3-10]
Paul Williams '28 [1-4, 9-10]
Jackson Goehle '28 [5-8]
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Piper Luke '26 [1-10] Madison Koscielski '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jilani Harrison '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Cardinals Adam Bryan '26 [1-10] Jenna Hannan '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ciara Bryant '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Washington University Washington University Wyatt Tait '27 Yuxin Mou '25
Bears Alexandra Adams '28 Madison Sweet '27
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Jack Charlton '27 [1-10] Fabian Anez-Broccardo '25 [1-6, 9-10]
Ailey Mcintyre '28 [7-8]
Broncos Kate Heaman '28 [1-10] Gissell Tellez '28 [1-8]
Emmanuel Reyes '27 [9-10]

Conditions — 09/28/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1006.6 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.3 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From NE (48°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1006.6 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn · NE 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Purdue: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.27
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Purdue by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Purdue, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →