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Central Series 1

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 40
2 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 45
3 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 96
4 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 108
5 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 162 MRP
6 Greyhounds Greyhounds Greyhounds 250 MRP
7 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 250 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers A 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 Jasper Waldman '25
Tacy Guest '26
Washington College Washington College Shoremen B 2 2 2 3 5 4 4 22 Imogene Nuss '28
Lucy Sunderland '28
Washington College Washington College Shoremen A 5 7 3 2 2 2 2 23 Austin Latimer '27
Nora Ciak '27
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers B 4 4 7 4 4 5 5 33 Johnny Leadingham '26
Nolani Lloyd '27
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons A 6 6 4 5 8 8 8 45 Nathaniel Adams '26
Chris Bahr '26
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens A 8 5 5 OCS 3 6 6 48 Ethan Deutsch '25
Ian Kaplan '25
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons B 7 8 8 7 7 7 7 51 Alexander Pfeffer '28 [1-2, 5-7]
Evelyn Carpenter '26 [3-4]
Evelyn Carpenter '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Alexander Pfeffer '28 [3-4]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens B 9 9 6 6 10 10 10 60 Anna Servidio '26 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Seton Dill '27 [2, 4, 6]
Brian Polak '27 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights A 3 3 DNS DNS 6 3 3 68 MRP Marlon Wool '26 [1-7]
Karolina Debniak '26 [1-4]
Amelia Mignone '25 [5-7]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights B DNS DNS 9 8 9 9 9 94 MRP Amelia Mignone '25 [1-4]
Karolina Debniak '26 [5-7]
Terry Nguyen '25 [1-4]
Cooper Bennett '27 [5-7]
Greyhounds Greyhounds Greyhounds A DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 125 MRP
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats A DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 125 MRP No Show
No Show
Greyhounds Greyhounds Greyhounds B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 125 MRP
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 125 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens5566778
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons1122334
GreyhoundsGreyhounds Greyhounds2233445
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers3344556
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights4455667
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats6677889
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen77889910

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens1212131314141
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons8899101011
GreyhoundsGreyhounds Greyhounds991010111112
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers10101111121213
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights11111212131314
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats13131414112
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen141411223
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Nathaniel Adams '26 Chris Bahr '26
Dragons Alexander Pfeffer '28 [1-2, 5-7]
Evelyn Carpenter '26 [3-4]		 Evelyn Carpenter '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Alexander Pfeffer '28 [3-4]
Princeton University Princeton University Jasper Waldman '25 Tacy Guest '26
Tigers Johnny Leadingham '26 Nolani Lloyd '27
Rutgers University Rutgers University Marlon Wool '26 [1-7] Karolina Debniak '26 [1-4]
Amelia Mignone '25 [5-7]
Scarlet Knights Amelia Mignone '25 [1-4]
Karolina Debniak '26 [5-7]		 Terry Nguyen '25 [1-4]
Cooper Bennett '27 [5-7]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Ethan Deutsch '25 Ian Kaplan '25
Blue Hens Anna Servidio '26 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Seton Dill '27 [2, 4, 6]		 Brian Polak '27 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Villanova University Villanova University No Show No Show
Wildcats No Show No Show
Washington College Washington College Austin Latimer '27 Nora Ciak '27
Shoremen Imogene Nuss '28 Lucy Sunderland '28

Conditions — 09/07/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1010.8 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 11.4 kn
Gusts to 24.5 kn
From WSW (255°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover96% Sunshine5.8 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1010.8 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Washington College: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.74 ± 0.40)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Washington College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →