Jack Boehringer '52 Open Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 106
2 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 171
3 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 189
4 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 229
5 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 332
6 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 335
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers C 2 4 5 1 2 2 13 1 30 Jackson Mcaliley '27
Kiki Bruzzi '25
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers B 5 2 4 4 3 3 7 3 31 Cole Woodworth '26
Eva Gonzalez-Whitehouse '26
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red B 11 12 3 2 1 1 1 7 38 Sophia Devling '26
Sophia Pearce '26
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen A 3 5 1 7 12 6 3 2 39 James Kopack '28
Ella Donaldson '27
Fordham University Fordham University Rams A 4 3 9 6 BKD 5 4 4 40 Jacob Zils '27
Andalucia Pilcher '28
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers A 1 8 8 3 4 13 2 6 45 Sofia Segalla '25
Hannah Bast '25
Fordham University Fordham University Rams B 7 1 2 11 5 10 6 5 47 Lucas Thress '26
Caroline Newton '27
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red A 14 6 10 5 8 14 5 12 74 Amelia Neumann '25
Kate Moran '27
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red C 6 13 12 10 10 8 8 10 77 Marcus Greco '28
Wynne Williams '27
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen B 8 9 6 9 13 16 9 8 78 Cooper Delbridge '26
Lucy Lack '28
Fordham University Fordham University Rams C 16 7 7 13 9 4 14 14 84 Lizzie Cochran '27
Nora Donahue '28
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers C 15 10 13 14 14 15 10 9 100 Nathaniel Hartwell '28
Tyler Mendes '25
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers A 10 11 17 8 15 12 12 18 103 Ben Hosford '25
Nicholas Cunha '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners B 13 14 16 15 17 7 11 11 104 Robert Finora '27
Logan Forward '28
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners A 12 17 14 12 6 9 18 17 105 Reed Mcallister '27
Rey Jacob Alino '25
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen C 9 16 15 16 16 11 16 13 112 Simon Hammarlund '28
Reilly Roedel '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners C 18 18 18 17 7 18 15 15 126 Calvin Marsh '28
Isaac Lee '28
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers B 17 15 11 18 18 17 17 16 129 Jeremy Lunati '27
Ryan Sylvester '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (27 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red11112222
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams22223333
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen33334444
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners55556666
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers44445555
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers66667777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red77778888
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams88889999
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen999910101010
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1111111112121212
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1010101011111111
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1212121213131313

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red1313131314141414
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams1414141415151515
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen1515151516161616
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1717171718181818
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1616161617171717
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers181818181111

Conditions — 09/14/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1025.1 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
1.0 kn
avg  ·  max 1.9 kn
Gusts to 7.2 kn
From SE (127°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover14% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1025.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn · SE 5 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cornell: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.34 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cornell by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at Cornell).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →