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MAISA Top 9 Open

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 174
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 217
3 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 286
4 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 294
5 George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 314
6 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 315
7 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 349
8 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 379
9 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 400
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas A 2 1 13 2 10 2 1 2 5 6 9 5 1 7 3 1 70 Mateo Di Blasi '25
Caro Gaston '25
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas B 10 3 4 1 1 3 8 3 8 8 2 11 11 15 8 8 104 Diego Escobar '25
Anna Brzezinski '27
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 3 7 8 3 11 14 15 7 9 1 1 7 2 2 2 15 107 Henry Allgeier '27
Ellie Alex '26
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 12 2 14 4 5 16 2 5 4 14 4 4 3 6 1 14 110 Jack Welburn '26
Darby Graham '26
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen B 5 11 12 13 3 4 7 17 2 13 8 3 9 5 4 10 126 Jj Klempen '27
Rachel Duggan '25
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 16 16 3 9 2 10 5 13 1 5 15 8 8 4 11 2 128 Owen Hennessey '25
Zoe Hoctor '25
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red A 8 8 7 5 18 1 13 11 16 17 5 15 4 3 5 4 140 Sophia Devling '26 [1-6, 11-16]
Boris Bialer '26 [7-8]
Maya Conway '26 [9-10]
Hope Campbell '28 [1-6]
Wynne Williams '27 [7-10]
Sophia Pearce '26 [11-16]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers B 1 17 16 7 4 13 16 4 11 9 7 6 5 9 9 7 141 Cole Woodworth '26
Eva Gonzalez-Whitehouse '26
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries A 9 4 6 17 9 8 3 12 10 10 17 10 10 1 16 3 145 Tyler Wood '26
Ella Adelman '26
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen A BKD 10 11 12 13 11 6 9 6 16 3 12 6 17 7 11 160 Juan Carlos Lacerda Jones '26
Frances Depke '25
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 13 5 15 14 6 5 12 16 15 12 11 2 15 10 10 5 166 Charlie Anderson '25 [1-16]
Jane Wright '28 [1-6, 11-16]
Emily Shioutakon '26 [7-10]
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries B 14 18 1 6 12 7 14 10 13 7 12 1 12 11 14 17 169 Jedidiah Bechtel '26
Alexandra Lee '25
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers A 15 9 18 8 14 17 4 1 12 3 13 9 17 16 6 12 174 Jackson Mcaliley '27
Hannah Bast '25
Fordham University Fordham University Rams A 4 6 2 16 17 12 18 14 3 2 16 13 7 14 15 16 175 Jacob Zils '27
Andalucia Pilcher '28
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 11 13 17 15 7 6 10 8 18 11 14 14 13 8 13 6 184 Blake Goodwin '27
Cadence Goodnight '26
Fordham University Fordham University Rams B 17 12 5 18 15 9 17 18 17 4 6 17 16 12 12 9 204 Lucas Thress '26
Nora Donahue '28
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red B 7 15 10 10 8 15 11 6 14 15 18 18 18 13 18 13 209 Marcus Greco '28 [1-6, 11-12]
Sara Ortiz Vey '28 [7-10, 13-16]
Sophia Fogarty '25 [1-6, 11-12, 15-16]
Sophia Pearce '26 [7-10]
Kate Constan '26 [13-14]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 6 14 9 11 16 18 9 15 7 18 10 16 14 18 17 18 216 Pierce Brindley '28
Molly Hanson '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red1122334455667788
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams2211181817171616151514141313
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries334455667788991010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas443322111818171716161515
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen5566778899101011111212
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen8877665544332211
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs66554433221118181717
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers991010111112121313141415151616
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks77889910101111121213131414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red101099887766554433
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams11111212131314141515161617171818
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries1212111110109988776655
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas1313141415151616171718181122
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen14141313121211111010998877
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen17171818112233445566
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs151516161717181811223344
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers18181717161615151414131312121111
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks161615151414131312121111101099

Conditions — 09/21/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1013.6 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From SE (142°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover38% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1013.6 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn · S 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Cornell: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.18 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.26
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.32 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cornell by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at Cornell).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →