Monroe Mania

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 14 5 19
2 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 1 7 15 22
3 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 2 9 13 22
4 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 22 17 39
5 Saint Mary's College Saint Mary's College Belles 23 26 49
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 1 1 1 1 1 3 7 Nithya Balachander '25
Anya Gustafson '25
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 2 2 2 2 2 1 9 Bryce Lesinski '27
Libby Little '25
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3 3 3 3 2 14 Chris Mikesell '28
Jack O'Connor '26
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 4 4 5 4 5 22 Kassidy Kennedy '26 [1-4]
Alex Schlotterer '25 [5]
Kira Bayes '25 [1-4]
Caitlin Kozina '27 [5]
Saint Mary's College Saint Mary's College Belles 5 5 4 5 4 23 Emmalyn Holmquist '26 [1-5]
Sailor Somerville '26 [1-2, 5]
Molly Strabley-Temple '27 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 1 1 1 1 5 Payden Pittman '28
Alejandro Ceron '27
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 2 3 3 3 2 2 13 Kurt Weisenfluh '27 [1-5]
Matthew Jones '27 [1-2]
Sunny Sun '28 [3-5]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 1 2 2 4 3 4 15 Zander West '26 [1-5]
Conor Daniels '26 [1-2]
Colin Herbolsheimer '27 [3-5]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 4 4 2 4 3 17 Cooper Avery '27
Nicholas Armantrout '26
Saint Mary's College Saint Mary's College Belles 5 DNF 5 5 5 26 Charlotte Mcilnay '27 [1-5]
Elise Ward '27 [1-2]
Kaitlyn Sweeney '27 [3-5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers 111335
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers 222441
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish44113
Saint Mary's CollegeSaint Mary's College Belles33552
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets55224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers 122441
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers 233552
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish55224
Saint Mary's CollegeSaint Mary's College Belles44113
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets11335

Conditions — 10/05/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1024.1 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.2 kn
avg  ·  max 4.9 kn
Gusts to 11.5 kn
From N (358°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1024.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn · S 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Indiana: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.33 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Indiana by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Indiana, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →