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Baldwin Wood

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 7 33 33
2 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 43 43
3 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 5 45 45
4 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 3 46 46
5 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 4 47 47
6 Rice University Rice University Owls 3 54 54
7 Louisiana Tech University Louisiana Tech University Bulldogs 58 58
8 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 68 68
9 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 6 68 68
10 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 8 76 76
11 Rice University Rice University Owls 1 84 84
12 Rice University Rice University Owls 2 103 103
13 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 109 109
14 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 111 111
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 7 4 1 2 2 5 3 4 7 5 33 Lillie Foster '29
Sabrina Casagrande '29
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 2 5 6 9 4 1 8 4 4 43 Ashley Hoguet '26
Caroline Caudron '27
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 5 7 6 1 4 8 4 9 5 1 45 Taylor Bartell '28
Catherine Anderson '26
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 3 10 2 4 1 1 9 3 2 14 46 Sophia Dias '29
Caitlin Briggs '27
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 4 1 4 5 6 3 5 5 6 12 47 Eliza Corral '29
Elizabeth Struve '28
Rice University Rice University Owls 3 8 10 3 3 10 6 2 9 3 54 Joe Slipper '28
Adeline Thompson '29
Louisiana Tech University Louisiana Tech University Bulldogs 9 9 7 5 7 7 11 1 2 58 Jack Cronan '29
Aiden Phillips '28
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 5 8 9 8 2 10 7 11 8 68 Sabrina Anderson '28 [1-9]
Sophia Adams '27 [1-6]
Maura Mcpartlin '29 [7-9]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 6 6 3 14 7 6 8 6 8 10 68 Allie Capasso '29
Megan Cassidy '26
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 8 3 7 8 10 9 11 1 14 13 76 Martha Hughes '28
Parker Kumler '27
Rice University Rice University Owls 1 11 13 13 13 11 2 12 3 6 84 Leo Marek '26 [1-3]
Ricky Miller '26 [4-9]
Oliver Zhu '28 [1-7]
Leo Marek '26 [8-9]
Rice University Rice University Owls 2 13 11 10 11 14 14 10 13 7 103 Lewis Forrest '29
Naayaa Mehta '27
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 14 14 12 12 12 12 14 10 9 109 Elizabeth Cleaves '29
Karina Davis '29
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 12 12 11 14 13 13 13 12 11 111 Dennis Kostjuhin '27
Karina Bertelsmann '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Louisiana Tech UniversityLouisiana Tech University Bulldogs999999999
Rice UniversityRice University Owls 1101010101010101010
Rice UniversityRice University Owls 2111111111111111111
Rice UniversityRice University Owls 3121212121212121212
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 1131313131313131313
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 2141414141414141414
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 1111111111
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 2222222222
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 3333333333
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 4444444444
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 5555555555
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 6666666666
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 7777777777
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 8888888888

Conditions — 11/01/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1019.3 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.4 kn
Gusts to 11.9 kn
From NE (55°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover23% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1019.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tulane: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →