Emma B. Regatta 2025

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 19 12 31
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 40 15 55
3 Washington University Washington University Bears 36 21 57
4 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 23 35 58
5 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University MTU Husky One 35 31 66
6 Case Western Reserve University Case Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans 37 37 74
7 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 37 56 93
8 Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 43 79 122
9 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 60 62 122
10 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 72 61 133
11 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 67 77 144
12 Hope College Hope College Swimming Dutchmen 77 81 158
13 Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 91 71 162
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 1 2 2 6 4 1 3 19 Lucas Nykamp '29
Ella Sligh '28
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 2 1 1 2 6 4 7 23 James Leavitt '27
Ryan Macisaac '26
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University MTU Husky One 6 8 4 7 1 5 4 35 Casey Dietsch '26
Gavin Parsons '28
Washington University Washington University Bears 5 6 7 4 9 3 2 36 Wyatt Tait '27
Jacob Hsia '26
Case Western Reserve University Case Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans 4 7 8 8 7 2 1 37 Andrew Liu '27
Catrin Bowen '28
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 7 5 5 3 5 6 6 37 Sam Childers '27
Hadley Zeller '26
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 8 4 3 1 8 7 9 40 Lila Torresen '29
Ruby Davies '28
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 3 3 9 9 2 9 8 43 Charlotte Marshall '29
Alya Macmanaway '26
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 9 10 6 5 11 8 11 60 Thomas Weykamp '28 [1-7]
Oliver Zawadzki '29 [1-2, 5-7]
Sophia Worden '27 [3-4]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 10 9 10 11 3 12 12 67 Jack Charlton '27
Matthew Wreschinsky '27
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 12 12 11 10 12 10 5 72 Reed Rossell '25
Logan Thien '29
Hope College Hope College Swimming Dutchmen 11 11 12 12 10 11 10 77 Matthew Daub '27
Grace Colburn '26
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 91 Adam Bryan '26
Rebecca Koch '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 2 1 1 2 2 1 3 12 Caroline Henry '27
Adelyn Zimmerman '28
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 2 3 1 3 3 2 15 Glen Warren '26
Madison Sweet '27
Washington University Washington University Bears 6 6 2 3 1 2 1 21 Flinn Opel '29 [1-7]
Nate Nowel '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Peter Gavahan '29 [3-4]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University MTU Husky One 3 4 5 4 4 4 7 31 Alex Cross '28
Ryland Brechting '30
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 4 3 6 7 5 6 4 35 Alex Strassberg Alonso '28 [1-7]
Marie Schauer '29 [1-4]
Tomas Lopez-Valcarcel '29 [5-7]
Case Western Reserve University Case Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans 7 5 4 5 6 5 5 37 Jordi Malaret '27 [1-7]
Alexandra Wiker '27 [1-4]
Jasper Jacobs '27 [5-7]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 8 11 7 6 10 8 6 56 John O’Connell '28 [1-2, 5-7]
Olivia Degrella '27 [3-4]
Kellyn Bucceri '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Annette Wadley '26 [3-4]
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 13 8 8 8 7 9 8 61 Nathaniel Bacheller '28
Lucy Herlein '29
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 5 9 10 RAF 8 7 9 62 Talena Monasmith '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Austin Sjaarda '27 [3-4]
Cassandra Fiore '29 [1-2, 5-7]
David Ma '28 [3-4]
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 9 7 9 10 11 13 12 71 Joshua Wilcox '28
Lauren Cleckner '25
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 10 10 11 9 13 11 13 77 Kristofer Fedje '26 [1-7]
Leonardo Simoncini '26 [1-4]
Holden Gray '27 [5-7]
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 12 13 12 11 9 12 10 79 Vivian Stewart '29
Lily Northon '28
Hope College Hope College Swimming Dutchmen 11 12 13 12 12 10 11 81 Connor Lum '29 [1-7]
Sabrina Gilles '29 [1-2, 5-7]
India Thomas '29 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Case Western Reserve UniversityCase Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans1133555
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons10101212111
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers2244666
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers3355777
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen4466888
Hope CollegeHope College Swimming Dutchmen5577999
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines11111313222
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans6688101010
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University MTU Husky One7799111111
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers881010121212
Saginaw Valley State UniversitySaginaw Valley State University Cardinals991111131313
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears121211333
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos131322444

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Case Western Reserve UniversityCase Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans2244666
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons11111313222
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers3355777
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers4466888
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen5577999
Hope CollegeHope College Swimming Dutchmen6688101010
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines121211333
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans7799111111
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University MTU Husky One881010121212
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers991111131313
Saginaw Valley State UniversitySaginaw Valley State University Cardinals10101212111
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears131322444
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos1133555
School / Team SkipperCrew
Case Western Reserve University Case Western Reserve University Andrew Liu '27 Catrin Bowen '28
CWRU Spartans Jordi Malaret '27 [1-7] Alexandra Wiker '27 [1-4]
Jasper Jacobs '27 [5-7]
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Reed Rossell '25 Logan Thien '29
Lakers Nathaniel Bacheller '28 Lucy Herlein '29
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Charlotte Marshall '29 Alya Macmanaway '26
Chargers Vivian Stewart '29 Lily Northon '28
Hope College Hope College Lucas Nykamp '29 Ella Sligh '28
Flying Dutchmen Caroline Henry '27 Adelyn Zimmerman '28
Hope College Hope College Matthew Daub '27 Grace Colburn '26
Swimming Dutchmen Connor Lum '29 [1-7] Sabrina Gilles '29 [1-2, 5-7]
India Thomas '29 [3-4]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Thomas Weykamp '28 [1-7] Oliver Zawadzki '29 [1-2, 5-7]
Sophia Worden '27 [3-4]
Spartans Talena Monasmith '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Austin Sjaarda '27 [3-4]
Cassandra Fiore '29 [1-2, 5-7]
David Ma '28 [3-4]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Casey Dietsch '26 Gavin Parsons '28
MTU Husky One Alex Cross '28 Ryland Brechting '30
Purdue University Purdue University Sam Childers '27 Hadley Zeller '26
Boilermakers John O’Connell '28 [1-2, 5-7]
Olivia Degrella '27 [3-4]
Kellyn Bucceri '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Annette Wadley '26 [3-4]
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Adam Bryan '26 Rebecca Koch '28
Cardinals Joshua Wilcox '28 Lauren Cleckner '25
University of Chicago University of Chicago James Leavitt '27 Ryan Macisaac '26
Maroons Alex Strassberg Alonso '28 [1-7] Marie Schauer '29 [1-4]
Tomas Lopez-Valcarcel '29 [5-7]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Lila Torresen '29 Ruby Davies '28
Wolverines Glen Warren '26 Madison Sweet '27
Washington University Washington University Wyatt Tait '27 Jacob Hsia '26
Bears Flinn Opel '29 [1-7] Nate Nowel '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Peter Gavahan '29 [3-4]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Jack Charlton '27 Matthew Wreschinsky '27
Broncos Kristofer Fedje '26 [1-7] Leonardo Simoncini '26 [1-4]
Holden Gray '27 [5-7]

Conditions — 10/18/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1005.2 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.7 kn
avg  ·  max 12.3 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From SSW (207°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine6.7 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1005.2 hPa Rain0.11 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 12 kn · NW 19 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hope: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.35 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hope by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Hope, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →