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Western Canada Cup '25

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 20 25 45
2 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 24 27 51
3 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 28 26 54
4 Redbirds Redbirds Redbirds 37 56 93
5 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 4 64 33 97
6 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 38 67 105
7 True Blue True Blue True Blue 56 61 117
8 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 59 58 117
9 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 74 52 126
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 2 2 4 4 3 1 2 1 1 20 Nelson Fretenburg '26
Angela Ying '25
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 6 4 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 24 Mathieu Graham '28
Jessica Hirschbold '27
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 3 5 1 3 1 4 3 3 5 28 Anna Parolin '26
John Gibbons '25
Redbirds Redbirds Redbirds 4 3 3 1 8 6 4 4 BYE 37
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 1 1 6 6 6 2 7 6 3 38 Dylan Jones '28
Kaina Reinoos '27
True Blue True Blue True Blue 7 7 7 7 5 5 5 5 8 56
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 8 8 5 5 4 7 9 9 4 59 Luke Forer '29
James Knoke '28
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 4 5 6 8 8 9 8 6 7 7 64 Hamish Bolton '25
Chloe Lukac '26
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 9 9 9 9 7 9 8 8 6 74 Teagan P '27
Danial Idk '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 4 1 3 3 4 2 1 3 4 25 Dylan Jones '28 [1-7, 9]
Connor Smith '27 [8]
Kaina Reinoos '27 [1-7, 9]
Ming Lee '27 [8]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 5 5 7 26 Matt Young '29
Manuel Perdisa '28
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 3 6 1 2 3 4 2 4 2 27 Eric Omielan '27
Roan Olson '27
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 4 2 4 6 6 1 3 4 1 6 33 Ben Silcoff '27
Ian Doherty '27
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 7 7 5 4 6 6 8 6 3 52 Marie Idk '26
Eilís Young '29
Redbirds Redbirds Redbirds 5 5 8 8 7 8 7 7 1 56
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 6 8 7 5 9 9 3 2 9 58 Maclain Walsworth '28
Liam Green '29
True Blue True Blue True Blue 8 3 9 9 5 5 6 8 8 61
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 9 9 4 7 8 7 9 9 5 67 Saskia Robinson-Zuber '27
Emma Ball '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1919187878585838392
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2909086868484777791
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3878785858383929290
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 4868684847777919187
RedbirdsRedbirds Redbirds929290908686848477
True BlueTrue Blue True Blue858583839292909086
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 1848477779191878785
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 2838392929090868684
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 3777791918787858583

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1909086868484777791
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2878785858383929290
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3868684847777919187
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 4858583839292909086
RedbirdsRedbirds Redbirds919187878585838392
True BlueTrue Blue True Blue848477779191878785
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 1838392929090868684
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 2777791918787858583
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 3929290908686848477

Conditions — 10/04/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1013.6 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 89°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 86°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 21.4 kn
From ENE (64°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover13% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1013.6 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn · NE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Victoria: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Victoria by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Victoria, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →