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Palm Beach Trophy

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 3 7 10
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 11 6 17
3 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 11 7 18
4 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 6 13 19
5 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 16 12 28
6 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 18 20 38
7 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 21 20 41
8 College of Coastal Georgia College of Coastal Georgia Mariners 22 29 51
9 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 29 23 52
10 Flagler College Flagler College Saints 28 31 59
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2026 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
College of Coastal GeorgiaCollege of Coastal Georgia Mariners222
Flagler CollegeFlagler College Saints333
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators101010
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles666
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers444
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins777
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes121212
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish888
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls131313
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights999

Division B

Team1B2B3B
College of Coastal GeorgiaCollege of Coastal Georgia Mariners333
Flagler CollegeFlagler College Saints444
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators121212
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles777
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers666
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins888
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes131313
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish999
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls222
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights101010

Conditions — 10/17/2026 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 1015.0 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 75°F
Feels like 91°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.4 kn
Gusts to 13.6 kn
From WNW (302°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover70% Sunshine6.7 hrs Humidity89% Pressure1015.0 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: no wind record for this regatta; the venue average is used
In this breeze at Palm Beach Atlantic: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Palm Beach Atlantic by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Palm Beach Atlantic, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →