| School | Team | |
|---|---|---|
 |
Boston University | Terriers |
 |
Bowdoin | Polar Bears |
 |
Brown | Bears |
 |
Coast Guard | Bears |
 |
Harvard | Crimson |
 |
Northeastern | Huskies |
 |
Roger Williams | Hawks 1 (1) |
|
Roger Williams | Hawks 2 (2) |
 |
Tufts | Jumbos |
| School | Win | Top 3 | Avg finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tufts University | 25.0% | 65% | 3.0 |
| Boston University | 20.9% | 57% | 3.3 |
| Bowdoin College | 16.2% | 45% | 3.8 |
| U. S. Coast Guard Academy | 14.9% | 46% | 3.9 |
| Northeastern University | 10.2% | 35% | 4.4 |
| Brown University | 10.0% | 35% | 4.4 |
| Harvard University | 2.5% | 10% | 6.3 |
| Roger Williams University | 0.3% | 7% | 7.0 |
Forecast from 5,000 simulated regattas. Strengths come from each school's predicted line-up and its sailors' ratings. The forecast is not official and changes as entries and line-ups are published.
| School | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston University (Terriers) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Bowdoin (Polar Bears) | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| Brown (Bears) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| Coast Guard (Bears) | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Harvard (Crimson) | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 |
| Northeastern (Huskies) | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| Roger Williams (Hawks 1) | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Roger Williams (Hawks 2) | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| Tufts (Jumbos) | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| School | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston University (Terriers) | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| Bowdoin (Polar Bears) | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
| Brown (Bears) | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| Coast Guard (Bears) | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Harvard (Crimson) | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
| Northeastern (Huskies) | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| Roger Williams (Hawks 1) | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 1 |
| Roger Williams (Hawks 2) | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
| Tufts (Jumbos) | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.
