Drexel Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 American University American University American 4 16 20
2 Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 13 11 24
3 University of Delaware University of Delaware Delaware 15 16 31
4 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 17 16 33
5 Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 22 17 39
6 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 20 20 40
7 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 23 18 41
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
American University American University American 1 1 1 1 4 Billy Hluchan '12 [1-4]
Sarah Kreshtool '12 [1-2]
Chloã« Troia '12 [3-4]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 4 4 2 3 13 Rachel Bennung '12
Lauren Cane '14
University of Delaware University of Delaware Delaware 3 3 5 4 15 Nicholas Verrochi '10
Jacqueline Heinz '13
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 7 5 3 2 17 Jason Sinclair '13
Stephen Ciccariello '13
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 2 2 DNF DNF 20 Derek Douglas '13
Reuben Krutz '14
Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 6 6 4 6 22 Douglas Zangre '13
Michael Larose '13
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 5 7 6 5 23 Ian Hunt '13 [1-4]
Josh Sharaf '12 [1-2]
Brian Moses '10 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 1 1 1 DNF 11 Paul Luisi '11
Rachel Leedy '12
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 2 3 6 5 16 David Schubert '10
Natalie Launchi '13
American University American University American 3 2 DNF 3 16 Noel Klingler '12
Kara Lang '11
University of Delaware University of Delaware Delaware 4 6 4 2 16 Bryan Whittington '13
Alison Sobeck '13
Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 5 4 2 6 17 Troy Zangle '13
Marc Smith '13
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 6 5 3 4 18 John Handel '12
Benjamin Smith '13
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 7 7 5 1 20 Autumn Hoover '12 [1-4]
Jonathan Soja '13 [1-2]
Colby Weingarten '10 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
American UniversityAmerican University American1133
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Delaware2244
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons3366
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth4477
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings6688
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester7711
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Webb Institute8822

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
American UniversityAmerican University American2244
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Delaware3366
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons4477
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth6688
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings7711
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester8822
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Webb Institute1133

Conditions — 05/08/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1000.9 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.6 kn
avg  ·  max 18.1 kn
Gusts to 37.9 kn
From W (266°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover25% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1000.9 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 16 kn · NW 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Drexel: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.29 ± 0.39)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Drexel by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Drexel, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →