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Greater New York Dinghy Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 13 20 33
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 49 15 64
3 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 48 38 86
4 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 31 68 99
5 University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 38 74 112
6 American University American University American 88 37 125
7 Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 70 56 126
8 University of Delaware University of Delaware Delaware 61 110 171
9 Skidmore College Skidmore College Skidmore 78 MRP 104 MRP 182 MRP
10 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 111 MRP 81 MRP 192 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 13 Carl Shorett '10
Alex Wiggins '13
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 2 DNS 3 1 2 2 3 3 2 2 31 John Croll '12
Irene Jacqz '13
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 3 3 BKD 3 5 3 6 2 4 5 38 Geoff Williams '11
Brian Street '12
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 4 2 4 4 6 5 4 8 3 8 48 Ian Connors '13
Konrad Kopczynski '11
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 10 4 2 8 3 6 2 4 6 4 49 Sara Burke '11
Andy Kramer '11
University of Delaware University of Delaware Delaware 7 5 5 5 8 7 8 5 5 6 61 Nicholas Verrochi '10 [1-10]
Lindy Deal '11 [1-2]
Jacqueline Heinz '13 [3-4, 7-8]
Jason Wos '11 [5-6, 9-10]
Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 5 DNF 6 9 7 4 7 7 7 7 70 Keith Macartney '13 [1-10]
William Mcivor '12 [1-6]
John Watkins '10 [7-10]
Skidmore College Skidmore College Skidmore 6 7 7 6 4 8 5 6 8 1 78 MRP Ellen Wallace '13
Katrina Eckman '12
American University American University American 8 6 8 7 10 10 10 10 9 10 88 Bryan Schapperle '13
Chaselynn Collins '12
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 9 8 9 10 9 9 9 9 10 9 111 MRP Stan Benarick '12
Carl Grantham '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 15 Robert Nordlund '12
Erica Leinmiller '13
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 1 1 3 1 2 2 1 3 4 20 Joseph Turchiano '11
Emma Pfohman '13
American University American University American 4 4 3 4 4 3 7 3 2 3 37 Russell Gasdia '12
Robert Leming '12
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 3 4 1 3 5 5 4 4 6 38 Hussain Patel '13
Stephen Nishikawa '10
Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 5 6 BKD BKD 7 4 3 8 6 5 56 Rachel Bristol '13
Max Williams '12
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 6 9 5 6 DNF 6 4 6 8 7 68 Stephanie Hart '12
Rebecca Newman '12
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester DNS 8 8 8 5 8 8 9 7 2 74 Adam Bossert '13
John Kauppi '13
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 7 5 7 5 6 7 6 5 5 8 81 MRP Gregory Dempsey '11
Corbin Anderson '13
Skidmore College Skidmore College Skidmore DNF 7 6 7 8 DNS 9 7 9 9 104 MRP Benjamin Brown '12
Harrison Shulman '10
University of Delaware University of Delaware Delaware DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 110 Nicholas Verrochi '10 [1-10]
Lindy Deal '11 [1-2]
Jacqueline Heinz '13 [3-4, 7-8]
Jason Wos '11 [5-6, 9-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
American UniversityAmerican University American1122334455
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army2233445566
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions3344556677
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Delaware4455667788
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams5566778899
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials667788991010
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Hamilton778899101011
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen889910101122
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester991010112233
Skidmore CollegeSkidmore College Skidmore101011223344

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
American UniversityAmerican University American1122334455
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army2233445566
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions3344556677
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Delaware4455667788
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams5566778899
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials667788991010
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Hamilton778899101011
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen889910101122
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester991010112233
Skidmore CollegeSkidmore College Skidmore101011223344

Conditions — 04/10/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1022.3 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.7 kn
avg  ·  max 13.2 kn
Gusts to 26.0 kn
From WNW (292°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover14% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1022.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 16 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Fordham: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fordham by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (25 labelled days at Fordham).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →