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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 21 19 40
2 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 20 23 43
3 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 34 18 52
4 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 25 35 60
5 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 30 47 77
6 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 58 29 87
7 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 1 50 39 89
8 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 1 51 59 110
9 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 1 30 82 112
10 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 2 60 53 113
11 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 85 32 117
12 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 66 69 135
13 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 68 85 153
14 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 73 88 161
15 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 2 81 84 165
16 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 93 88 181
17 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 2 93 96 189
18 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 3 94 95 189
19 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 109 99 208
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 4 6 3 1 1 5 20 Harrison Hatton '13
Rebecca King '13
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 3 5 2 2 3 6 21 Justin Doane '12
Katherine Jewett '11
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 1 2 1 8 6 7 25 Sean Kelly '12
Jessica Schember '12
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 7 1 6 6 8 2 30 Patrick Soper '18
Francesca Delle Cese '12
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 1 10 4 5 5 2 4 30 Cody Shevitz '12
Jacob Freimer '11
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 2 3 8 4 5 12 34 Nick Dugdale '12
Alexandra Dunlap '11
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 1 8 13 9 10 9 1 50
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 1 5 7 4 11 16 8 51 Michael Lazzaro '12
Jonathan Wilkerson '11
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 6 DSQ 7 3 4 18 58 Eliza Richartz '13
Hayley Tobin '11
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 2 14 10 17 9 7 3 60 Aubrey Toole '12
Sarah Adams '13
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 9 12 16 7 12 10 66 Erik Lund '14
Christine Gorney '11
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 13 9 11 12 10 13 68 Bradley Schoch '11
Zachary Haney '11
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 11 15 10 13 13 11 73 Sebastien Laleau '10
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 2 19 8 15 14 11 14 81
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 17 14 14 17 14 9 85 Mickail Murawski '10
Jean Rutledge '13
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 2 12 17 12 18 19 15 93 Christopher Hagerman '11
Kay Larsh '12
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 15 16 13 16 17 16 93 Kellsy Panno '10 [1-6]
Daniel Atkins '10 [1-2, 4-5]
Jeremy Goldstein '10 [3, 6]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 3 18 11 18 15 15 17 94
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 16 18 19 19 18 19 109 Janet Rumsey '13
Natalie Cardoso '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 2 1 6 2 5 2 18 Benjamin Pedrick '11
Abigail Soong '11
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 5 5 1 1 4 3 19 Peter Stemler '10
Iris Clayter '13
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 3 10 4 4 1 1 23 Oliver Riihiluoma '12
Katie Riklin '13
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 7 3 3 6 2 8 29 Hannah Burroughs '11
Megan Grove '10
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 6 2 7 8 3 6 32 Andrew Cowley '12
Jaimy Sandoval '11
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 1 6 10 7 7 4 35 James Davis '26
Nevin Garcia '12
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 1 9 4 2 5 9 10 39 Maxwell Wyman '12
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 11 9 9 3 6 9 47 Thomas Maher '12
Nicholas Hanne '12
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 2 8 8 5 12 15 5 53 Lauren Amery '12
Michelle Hanson '13
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 1 4 14 12 14 8 7 59 Ryan Lee '12
Elizabeth Thome '11
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 10 7 16 10 12 14 69 Jonathan Dilworth '11
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 1 14 18 14 9 16 11 82
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 2 18 11 8 11 19 17 84
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 17 13 11 17 14 13 85 Trevor Fournier '11
Samantha Ortega '13
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 13 15 13 19 10 18 88 Andrew Freeman '10
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 16 17 15 13 11 16 88 Maryan Gonnerman '11
Christina Stege '14
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 3 15 19 18 15 13 15 95 Kenton Stutz '11
Cathy Liu '12
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 2 12 12 17 18 18 19 96 Christopher Hagerman '11
Kay Larsh '12
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 19 16 19 16 17 12 99 Ashley Eberhard '11
Bailee Pirot '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (35 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley 1111111
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley 2222222
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley 3333333
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1444444
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2555555
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1666666
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2777777
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Monterey Bay999999
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 1101010101010
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 2888888
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara 1111111111111
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara 2212121212121
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 1121212121212
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 2131313131313
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 3151515151515
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 4141414141414
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis 1161616161616
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis 2171717171717
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz181818181818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley 1111111
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley 2222222
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley 3333333
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1444444
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2555555
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1666666
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2777777
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Monterey Bay999999
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 1101010101010
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 2888888
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara 1111111111111
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara 2212121212121
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 1121212121212
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 2131313131313
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 3151515151515
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 4141414141414
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis 1161616161616
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis 2171717171717
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz181818181818
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Patrick Soper '18 Francesca Delle Cese '12
Mustang 1 Thomas Maher '12 Nicholas Hanne '12
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Erik Lund '14 Christine Gorney '11
Mustang 2 Jonathan Dilworth '11
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Sean Kelly '12 Jessica Schember '12
Keelhaulers 1 James Davis '26 Nevin Garcia '12
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Sebastien Laleau '10
Keelhaulers 2 Andrew Freeman '10
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Kellsy Panno '10 [1-6] Daniel Atkins '10 [1-2, 4-5]
Jeremy Goldstein '10 [3, 6]
Monterey Bay Maryan Gonnerman '11 Christina Stege '14
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Janet Rumsey '13 Natalie Cardoso '13
Otters 1 Ashley Eberhard '11 Bailee Pirot '12
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Bradley Schoch '11 Zachary Haney '11
Otters 2 Trevor Fournier '11 Samantha Ortega '13
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University
Santa Clara 1 Maxwell Wyman '12
Stanford University Stanford University Harrison Hatton '13 Rebecca King '13
Cardinal 1 Oliver Riihiluoma '12 Katie Riklin '13
Stanford University Stanford University Justin Doane '12 Katherine Jewett '11
Cardinal 2 Peter Stemler '10 Iris Clayter '13
Stanford University Stanford University Eliza Richartz '13 Hayley Tobin '11
Cardinal 3 Hannah Burroughs '11 Megan Grove '10
Stanford University Stanford University Nick Dugdale '12 Alexandra Dunlap '11
Cardinal 4 Benjamin Pedrick '11 Abigail Soong '11
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Cody Shevitz '12 Jacob Freimer '11
Berkeley 1
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Aubrey Toole '12 Sarah Adams '13
Berkeley 2 Lauren Amery '12 Michelle Hanson '13
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley
Berkeley 3 Kenton Stutz '11 Cathy Liu '12
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Michael Lazzaro '12 Jonathan Wilkerson '11
UC Davis 1 Ryan Lee '12 Elizabeth Thome '11
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Christopher Hagerman '11 Kay Larsh '12
UC Davis 2 Christopher Hagerman '11 Kay Larsh '12
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Mickail Murawski '10 Jean Rutledge '13
UC Santa Cruz Andrew Cowley '12 Jaimy Sandoval '11

Conditions — 02/07/2010 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1015.7 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.6 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From WNW (299°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1015.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Stanford: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →