Navigate

North Spring

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 25 29 54
2 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 44 27 71
3 Colgate University Colgate University Colgate 39 49 88
4 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 65 37 102
5 Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 52 64 116
6 University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 70 85 155
7 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 89 79 168
8 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 101 98 199
9 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 107 108 215
10 University of Ottawa University of Ottawa University of Ottawa 114 121 235
11 Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 123 116 239
12 Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 116 135 251
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 1 4 2 5 2 1 2 1 1 1 3 25 Vincent Andrews '11
Brett Allen '13
Colgate University Colgate University Colgate 1 6 1 4 3 8 4 1 5 2 3 1 39 Scott Layton '11 [1-12]
Margaret Mcmullen '13 [1-2, 11-12]
Morgan Beals '13 [3-4, 7-10]
Suzanne Collier '12 [5-6]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 3 2 6 1 2 1 6 6 2 9 2 4 44 Cameron Friedman '10
Kerry Morrison '11
Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 5 3 5 7 4 3 2 9 3 3 6 2 52 Nathan Fast '14 [1-12]
Roxanne Schacht '13 [1-6, 11-12]
Michael Larose '13 [7-10]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 7 8 2 6 8 5 3 3 4 5 8 6 65 No Show
Sarah Bethune '19
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 6 4 3 3 1 6 7 DNF 11 4 5 7 70 Geoff Williams '11 [1-12]
Sarah Young '13 [1-6, 8-9, 11-12]
Christopher Stair '12 [7, 10]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 11 9 8 8 7 4 5 4 8 8 9 8 89 Erik Olsen '10
Benjamin Frost '10
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 4 10 12 5 11 11 8 DNS 7 11 4 5 101 Roy Ingham '13 [1-12]
Nathan Fulcher '13 [1-6]
Chelsea Lahna '11 [7-8, 11-12]
Josh Sharaf '12 [9-10]
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 12 11 11 12 6 7 12 7 6 6 7 10 107 Nick Ventrilla '12
Gretchen Neureuter '11
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa University of Ottawa 8 7 10 10 12 9 9 8 9 10 11 11 114 Claire Desbrisay '13
Elizabeth Barr '12
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 9 12 7 11 9 10 11 5 10 7 OCS 12 116 Alexander Mattern '10
Eddie Einhaus '13
Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 10 5 9 9 10 12 10 DNF DNS DNS 10 9 123 William Mcivor '12 [1-12]
Travis Rosenblatt '11 [1-10]
Timothy Boucher '12 [11-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 3 1 3 1 1 4 2 4 2 4 1 1 27 Brendan Hannon '11
Marie Johnson '12
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 2 1 3 3 1 3 2 3 1 5 3 29 Philip Alley '12
Colleen Cozzens '12
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 7 5 2 2 4 5 1 3 1 3 2 2 37 Peter Soosalu '12
Nicolas Trottier '11
Colgate University Colgate University Colgate 1 3 4 5 5 3 DNF 1 4 2 3 5 49 Michael Dinneen '11 [1-12]
Katherine Lawson '12 [1-10]
Sara Winkelman '12 [11-12]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 6 6 6 4 2 2 DNS 5 5 5 4 6 64 Sean Murphy '13
Casey Brown '16
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 5 4 OCS 7 7 6 7 7 6 7 6 4 79 Michael Weigand '11
Corbin Anderson '13
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 4 7 5 8 8 7 4 6 8 8 10 10 85 Nicholas Troche '11
Brian Street '12
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 9 10 8 12 6 8 5 8 9 6 9 8 98 Ian Hunt '13 [1-4, 11-12]
Nathan Fulcher '13 [5-10]
Chelsea Lahna '11 [1-4]
John Handel '12 [5-10]
Nathan Fulcher '13 [11-12]
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 11 12 9 6 11 12 6 9 7 9 7 9 108 Jon Gambacorta '13 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Robert Handler '13 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Stephanie Rosenbaum '13 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Madeline Waldron '13 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 10 9 7 9 10 11 8 11 DNS DNS 8 7 116 James Mcmanus '13
Peter Adelfio '13
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa University of Ottawa 8 8 11 10 9 9 9 10 DNF 11 12 11 121 Alexandre Gareau '11
Rob Drakos '13
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 12 11 10 11 12 10 DNF DNS 10 10 11 12 135 Kevin Petrikas '13
James Dewitt '11
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army11335577991111
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo2244668810101212
Colgate UniversityColgate University Colgate33557799111111
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions4466881010121222
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red55779911111133
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Hamilton6688101012122244
University of OttawaUniversity of Ottawa University of Ottawa77991111113355
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels8810101212224466
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer1010121222446688
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester99111111335577
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester11111133557799
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Webb Institute1212224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army2244668810101212
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo33557799111111
Colgate UniversityColgate University Colgate4466881010121222
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions55779911111133
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red6688101012122244
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Hamilton77991111113355
University of OttawaUniversity of Ottawa University of Ottawa8810101212224466
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels99111111335577
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer11111133557799
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester1010121222446688
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester1212224466881010
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Webb Institute11335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Colgate University Colgate University Scott Layton '11 [1-12] Margaret Mcmullen '13 [1-2, 11-12]
Morgan Beals '13 [3-4, 7-10]
Suzanne Collier '12 [5-6]
Colgate Michael Dinneen '11 [1-12] Katherine Lawson '12 [1-10]
Sara Winkelman '12 [11-12]
Columbia University Columbia University Cameron Friedman '10 Kerry Morrison '11
Lions Brendan Hannon '11 Marie Johnson '12
Cornell University Cornell University Vincent Andrews '11 Brett Allen '13
Big Red Philip Alley '12 Colleen Cozzens '12
Hamilton College Hamilton College William Mcivor '12 [1-12] Travis Rosenblatt '11 [1-10]
Timothy Boucher '12 [11-12]
Hamilton James Mcmanus '13 Peter Adelfio '13
Queen's University Queen's University No Show Sarah Bethune '19
Gaels Peter Soosalu '12 Nicolas Trottier '11
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Alexander Mattern '10 Eddie Einhaus '13
Rensselaer Kevin Petrikas '13 James Dewitt '11
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Roy Ingham '13 [1-12] Nathan Fulcher '13 [1-6]
Chelsea Lahna '11 [7-8, 11-12]
Josh Sharaf '12 [9-10]
Rochester Ian Hunt '13 [1-4, 11-12]
Nathan Fulcher '13 [5-10]		 Chelsea Lahna '11 [1-4]
John Handel '12 [5-10]
Nathan Fulcher '13 [11-12]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Erik Olsen '10 Benjamin Frost '10
Army Michael Weigand '11 Corbin Anderson '13
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Nick Ventrilla '12 Gretchen Neureuter '11
Buffalo Jon Gambacorta '13 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Robert Handler '13 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Stephanie Rosenbaum '13 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Madeline Waldron '13 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa Claire Desbrisay '13 Elizabeth Barr '12
University of Ottawa Alexandre Gareau '11 Rob Drakos '13
University of Rochester University of Rochester Geoff Williams '11 [1-12] Sarah Young '13 [1-6, 8-9, 11-12]
Christopher Stair '12 [7, 10]
U. Rochester Nicholas Troche '11 Brian Street '12
Webb Institute Webb Institute Nathan Fast '14 [1-12] Roxanne Schacht '13 [1-6, 11-12]
Michael Larose '13 [7-10]
Webb Institute Sean Murphy '13 Casey Brown '16

Conditions — 04/03/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1013.5 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.0 kn
Gusts to 26.8 kn
From SSE (168°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1013.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · NW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cornell: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.44 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cornell by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at Cornell).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →