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Nwicsa Womens Qualifiers

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 14 28 42
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 36 20 56
3 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 40 45 85
4 Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 33 61 94
5 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 63 53 116
6 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 74 53 127
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 14 Hannah Darrin '11
Athina Ebert '17
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 2 3 4 2 2 2 1 2 4 4 3 4 33 Lisa Hodges '11
Melissa Rathbun '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 36 Erika Vranizan '12
Megan Link '10
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 5 5 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 40 Leila Whitney '13
Aldyn Brudie '13
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 63 Alison Ross '12
Diana Fahning '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 4 5 6 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 74 Marissa Paulling '11
Kasandra Easley '11
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 1 1 4 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 3 20 Katherine Stephens '10
Calla Ward '10
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 3 3 2 3 4 1 2 2 3 3 1 28 Alyce Flanagan '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Haley Lane '13 [5-6]
Katie Schmidt '11 [9-12]
Laura Smit '18 [1-2]
Haley Lane '13 [3-4, 7-12]
Katie Schmidt '11 [5-6]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 4 2 5 1 2 3 DSQ 3 5 4 5 4 45 Julia Purcell '10
Kristine Dewilde '11
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 DNF 2 3 DSQ DNS DNS DNS 4 2 2 2 53 Cara Kuhlman '11 [1-12]
Sophie Thomas '10 [1-2, 6-12]
Kasandra Easley '11 [3-5]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 5 4 4 5 4 2 2 4 6 5 6 6 53 Mary (Liza) Holtz '13
Jen Vroomen '11
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers DNF 5 6 6 5 5 4 5 3 6 4 5 61 Sophie Harris '10
Melinda Gandara '??
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers111111111111
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks222222222222
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings333333333333
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound444444444444
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies555555555555
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings666666666666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers111111111111
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks222222222222
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings333333333333
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound444444444444
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies555555555555
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings666666666666
School / Team SkipperCrew
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Lisa Hodges '11 Melissa Rathbun '13
Pioneers Sophie Harris '10 Melinda Gandara '??
Portland State University Portland State University Leila Whitney '13 Aldyn Brudie '13
Vikings Julia Purcell '10 Kristine Dewilde '11
University of Oregon University of Oregon Marissa Paulling '11 Kasandra Easley '11
Ducks Cara Kuhlman '11 [1-12] Sophie Thomas '10 [1-2, 6-12]
Kasandra Easley '11 [3-5]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Alison Ross '12 Diana Fahning '13
Puget Sound Mary (Liza) Holtz '13 Jen Vroomen '11
University of Washington University of Washington Hannah Darrin '11 Athina Ebert '17
Huskies Alyce Flanagan '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Haley Lane '13 [5-6]
Katie Schmidt '11 [9-12]		 Laura Smit '18 [1-2]
Haley Lane '13 [3-4, 7-12]
Katie Schmidt '11 [5-6]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Erika Vranizan '12 Megan Link '10
Vikings Katherine Stephens '10 Calla Ward '10

Conditions — 04/24/2010 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1021.3 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.6 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 24.5 kn
From SSW (195°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover75% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1021.3 hPa Rain0.19 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · SW 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Western Washington: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.41 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Western Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (23 labelled days at Western Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →