University of Washington '18
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.31 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 37 | Fall 2017 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.28 (fleet 1.77) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 12–6 (67%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 | 1 | 5–1 | — |
| Spring 2017 | 2 | 7–5 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (18 matches) the record is 12–6 against 11.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-03 | NWICSA Team Race | skipper | 1.49 | 2.34 | 5–1 | 4.4 | +0.85 | 0.3 | 47% |
| 2017-04-22 | NWICSA Team Race Championships | skipper | 1.29 | 1.77 | 5–3 | 4.3 | +0.48 | 0.2 | 42% |
| 2017-03-04 | NWICSA Team Race | skipper | 1.19 | -0.56 | 2–2 | 3.2 | −1.75 | 1.6 | 99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| USF Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 11.1 | -0.33 |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 13.6 | 1.88 |
| Rainier Cup | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.2 | 2.02 |
| NWICSA Women's Qualifier Women's | Skipper | A | 7 | 2.3 | 1.19 |
| NWICSA Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 57% | — |
| 2018 St. Francis Invite | Skipper | A | 17 | 10.2 | 1.62 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke Interconference | Skipper | A | 5 | 8.2 | 1.12 |
| NWICSA Women's Singlehanded Championship Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 7 | 1.9 | 2.08 |
| North/North | Skipper | A | 5 | 4.6 | 1.75 |
| Laser Performance Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 16.2 | 0.31 |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Championships Women's | Skipper | A | 3 | 1.7 | 1.99 |
| Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 14.9 | 0.95 |
| Sea to Sky | Skipper | A | 7 | 7.7 | 0.97 |
| Rainier Cup | Skipper | A | 3 | 4.7 | 1.27 |
| NWICSA Team Race Championships | Skipper | TR | 8 | 62% | — |
| NWICSA Team Race | Skipper | TR | 5 | 60% | — |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| NWICSA Singlehand Women's Qualifier Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 4 | 2.0 | 1.46 |
| NWICSA Frosh/Soph | Skipper | B | 6 | 1.8 | 1.22 |
| LaserPerformance Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 15.6 | 0.32 |
| Spring 2010 Team page Season | |||||
| Nwicsa Womens Qualifiers Women's | Crew | B | 2 | 2.0 | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Laura Smit |  College of Charleston |
'17 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
