North/North

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 14 7 21
2 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 10 15 25
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 14 20 34
4 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 26 26 52
5 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 23 36 59
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 39 29 68
7 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Women TBirds 30 39 69
8 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 44 25 69
9 Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 36 46 82
10 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 46 37 83
11 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 50 53 103
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 3 2 2 1 2 10 Andrew Wilkinson '18
Michael Levy '19
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 3 1 6 3 14 Connor Hughes '19
Audrey Jacobs '18
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 5 1 4 3 1 14 Chloe Dawson '20
Camille Ottaway '20
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 4 6 3 2 8 23 Laura Smit '18
Joanna Garcia '19
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 7 4 6 4 5 26 Eric Lyall '21
Vincent De Mesmaeker '19
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Women TBirds 2 5 5 9 9 30 Laura Stewart '17
Crystal Song '19
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 6 8 10 8 4 36 Lachlan Anders-Macleod '21
Ben Green '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 10 9 7 7 6 39 Ezekiel Ward '20
Nikoline Alden '19
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 8 10 11 5 10 44 Steven Dieleman '20
Julien Roberts '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 9 11 9 10 7 46 Maria Isberg '20 [1-5]
Gillian Craig '20 [1-2, 4-5]
Emily Baxter '20 [3]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 11 7 8 DNS DNS 50 Arthur Jenkins '21
Anny Schmidt '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 3 1 1 1 1 7 Hayden Potter '20
Farzana Mohamedali '20
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 5 4 2 3 15 Matthew Reynolds '20
Kyle Padgett '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 2 3 3 7 5 20 Marijke Jorna '21
Sandy Rost '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 6 7 2 6 4 25 Oliver Barry '20
Francesca Jasinski '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 9 6 6 3 2 26 Aidan Chiu '21
Jane Velghe '19
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 4 2 9 5 9 29 Max Van Dam '20
Emily Tan '20
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 5 9 8 8 6 36 Shaan Shridhar '19
Veronica Owen '18
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 10 8 5 4 10 37 Charlotte Clark '21
Shawna Eggleston '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Women TBirds 8 4 10 9 8 39 Jenny Dinwoodie '19
Molly Voltz '20
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 11 11 7 10 7 46 Sally Goldman '20
Charlotte Brownstone '20
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 7 10 DNS DNS DNS 53 Arthur Jenkins '21
Anny Schmidt '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds808088
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Women TBirds8887
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers80
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers80808
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers878786
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 18787868681
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 28686818182
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 181818282
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 28282

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds81818282
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Women TBirds8282
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers8787868681
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers8686818182
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 280
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 180808
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2808088
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 18887
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 2878786

Conditions — 10/28/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1013.0 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 13.1 kn
Gusts to 27.6 kn
From S (182°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover74% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1013.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 5 kn · E 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →