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Pccsc Co-ed Dinghy Pcc's

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 66 36 102
2 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 50 67 117
3 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 99 43 142
4 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 103 68 171
5 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 104 71 175
6 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 66 109 175
7 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 120 110 230
8 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 92 140 232
9 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 112 133 245
10 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 118 134 252
11 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 131 145 276
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 9 2 4 3 3 6 1 1 1 1 1 6 1 5 3 3 50 Christopher Vetter '10 [1-16]
Christine Tatchell '10 [1-2, 5-8, 15-16]
Alexander Kraebel '11 [3-4, 9-14]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 8 3 2 2 DSQ 8 3 2 6 2 3 7 2 2 1 66 Nick Dugdale '12 [1-14]
Justin Doane '12 [15-16]
Hannah Burroughs '11 [1-14]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 10 3 1 DSQ 5 3 3 2 3 3 8 2 3 1 5 2 66 Samuel Harrison '12
Blake Martini '11
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 2 1 8 6 9 1 10 10 4 11 11 1 9 4 1 4 92 Eric Alamillo '13 [1-16]
No Show [1-8]
Sean Patno '11 [9-16]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 8 10 6 1 6 4 6 5 8 8 5 7 2 9 9 5 99 Jack Porter '11 [1-10, 15-16]
Brian Hoover '12 [11-14]
Frank O'Brien '10 [1-10, 15-16]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 4 5 7 DSQ 1 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 6 8 10 10 103 Zachary Hester '10 [1-4, 9-16]
Soren Wilde '19 [5-8]
Darla Baldwin '11 [1-4, 9-10]
Lani Johnson '12 [5-8]
Hannah Tuson-Turner '11 [11-12, 15-16]
Craig Schifferns '12 [13-14]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 7 2 4 4 2 11 8 9 2 10 10 5 7 11 11 104 Nicholas Kaschak '12
Morgane Renoir '12
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 7 9 9 9 10 5 5 6 10 7 7 5 8 3 6 6 112 Michael Lazzaro '12 [1-16]
Kay Larsh '12 [1-2]
Jonathan Wilkerson '11 [3-16]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 6 4 10 8 11 10 4 4 7 4 9 11 4 10 7 9 118 Cody Shevitz '12
Jacob Freimer '11
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 5 6 5 5 8 8 9 7 11 10 4 9 11 6 8 8 120 Mark Anders '10
Neha Bazaj '10
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 11 11 DSQ 7 7 9 2 11 6 9 6 8 10 11 4 7 131 Patrick Soper '18
Francesca Delle Cese '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 5 6 2 2 2 2 1 4 3 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 36 Peter Stemler '10
Katherine Jewett '11
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 2 1 1 1 1 5 3 5 2 3 6 3 2 2 4 43 Rex Cameron '12 [1-16]
Ryan Moore '10 [1-4, 7-16]
Blair Johnston '11 [5-6]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 4 1 8 7 5 6 3 6 2 5 1 9 2 3 3 2 67 Stephen Lue '12 [1-16]
Daniel Kivlovitz '12 [1-6, 9-14]
Madeline Thompson '13 [7-8]
Alexander Kraebel '11 [15-16]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 9 3 4 3 4 4 2 2 1 4 6 4 6 4 7 5 68 William Petersen '11
Tahnee Allman '12
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 8 5 6 3 3 4 1 4 3 4 1 5 6 6 9 71 Ryan Sullivan '12 [1-16]
Keely Scates '12 [1-2, 7-8]
Jessica Barhydt '10 [3-6, 9-16]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 1 7 3 8 6 7 6 8 8 7 7 5 11 8 10 7 109 Lindsay Grove '13 [1-10, 15-16]
Maxwell Wyman '12 [11-14]
William Burke '13 [1-4, 7-10, 15-16]
Marianne Wallis '10 [5-6]
Lindsay Grove '13 [11-14]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 6 4 6 5 11 8 10 9 7 6 8 7 7 5 5 6 110 Oscar Jasklowski '11
Tatsuma Woo-Kawaguchi '10
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 7 9 7 11 9 11 11 10 10 11 9 3 4 7 11 3 133 Ryan Lee '12
Elizabeth Thome '11
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 8 11 9 9 7 9 7 7 9 10 5 10 8 10 4 11 134 Aubrey Toole '12 [1-12]
Lauren Amery '12 [13-16]
Sarah Adams '13 [1-12]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 10 5 10 4 10 5 9 11 11 9 10 8 10 11 9 8 140 Yan Rui Goheen '17 [1-8]
Jennifer Lyons '12 [9-16]
Kathryn Schultz '10 [1-8]
No Show [9-10, 13-16]
Sean Patno '11 [11-12]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 11 10 11 10 8 10 8 5 6 8 11 11 9 9 8 10 145 Thomas Maher '12
Nicholas Hanne '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley10101133557799111122
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang11112244668810101133
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows113355779911112244
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara335577991111224466
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans446688101011335577
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal557799111122446688
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis668810101133557799
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters77991111224466881010
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles88101011335577991111
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego224466881010113355
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos99111122446688101011

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley11112244668810101133
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang113355779911112244
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows224466881010113355
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara446688101011335577
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans557799111122446688
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal668810101133557799
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis77991111224466881010
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters88101011335577991111
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles99111122446688101011
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego335577991111224466
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos10101133557799111122
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Patrick Soper '18 Francesca Delle Cese '12
Mustang Thomas Maher '12 Nicholas Hanne '12
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Samuel Harrison '12 Blake Martini '11
Santa Clara Lindsay Grove '13 [1-10, 15-16]
Maxwell Wyman '12 [11-14]		 William Burke '13 [1-4, 7-10, 15-16]
Marianne Wallis '10 [5-6]
Lindsay Grove '13 [11-14]
Stanford University Stanford University Nick Dugdale '12 [1-14]
Justin Doane '12 [15-16]		 Hannah Burroughs '11 [1-14]
Cardinal Peter Stemler '10 Katherine Jewett '11
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Cody Shevitz '12 Jacob Freimer '11
Berkeley Aubrey Toole '12 [1-12]
Lauren Amery '12 [13-16]		 Sarah Adams '13 [1-12]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Michael Lazzaro '12 [1-16] Kay Larsh '12 [1-2]
Jonathan Wilkerson '11 [3-16]
UC Davis Ryan Lee '12 Elizabeth Thome '11
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Jack Porter '11 [1-10, 15-16]
Brian Hoover '12 [11-14]		 Frank O'Brien '10 [1-10, 15-16]
Anteaters Rex Cameron '12 [1-16] Ryan Moore '10 [1-4, 7-16]
Blair Johnston '11 [5-6]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Mark Anders '10 Neha Bazaj '10
UC Los Angeles Oscar Jasklowski '11 Tatsuma Woo-Kawaguchi '10
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Eric Alamillo '13 [1-16] No Show [1-8]
Sean Patno '11 [9-16]
UC San Diego Yan Rui Goheen '17 [1-8]
Jennifer Lyons '12 [9-16]		 Kathryn Schultz '10 [1-8]
No Show [9-10, 13-16]
Sean Patno '11 [11-12]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Nicholas Kaschak '12 Morgane Renoir '12
Gauchos Ryan Sullivan '12 [1-16] Keely Scates '12 [1-2, 7-8]
Jessica Barhydt '10 [3-6, 9-16]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Zachary Hester '10 [1-4, 9-16]
Soren Wilde '19 [5-8]		 Darla Baldwin '11 [1-4, 9-10]
Lani Johnson '12 [5-8]
Hannah Tuson-Turner '11 [11-12, 15-16]
Craig Schifferns '12 [13-14]
Rainbows William Petersen '11 Tahnee Allman '12
University of Southern California University of Southern California Christopher Vetter '10 [1-16] Christine Tatchell '10 [1-2, 5-8, 15-16]
Alexander Kraebel '11 [3-4, 9-14]
Trojans Stephen Lue '12 [1-16] Daniel Kivlovitz '12 [1-6, 9-14]
Madeline Thompson '13 [7-8]
Alexander Kraebel '11 [15-16]

Conditions — 04/17/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1019.8 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.9 kn
avg  ·  max 14.3 kn
Gusts to 29.2 kn
From NE (52°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine9.5 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1019.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 12 kn · NE 14 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hawaii: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hawaii by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Hawaii, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →