Navigate

PCCSC Women's Dinghy Champs

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 49 52 101
2 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 64 41 105
3 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 44 66 110
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 67 73 140
5 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 90 62 152
6 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 88 110 198
7 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 111 120 231
8 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 152 135 287
9 Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 146 152 298
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 5 3 2 2 1 6 1 1 2 1 1 4 2 3 4 2 2 44 Hannah Tuson-Turner '11
Hanne Nagatani '13
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 1 1 3 6 5 1 3 3 4 2 2 2 5 1 2 4 1 49 Eliza Richartz '13
Rebecca King '13
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 3 4 1 1 3 3 7 6 1 4 3 3 4 2 DSQ 1 7 64 Kelsey Rupp '12 [1-18]
Natalie Rastello '11 [1-5, 13-18]
Sydney Morical '12 [6-12]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 2 6 6 5 4 2 5 2 3 6 5 1 3 4 1 3 4 67 Keely Scates '12 [1-18]
Christina Nagatani '11 [1-16]
Krystal Treiberg '12 [17-18]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 4 4 7 7 4 2 5 4 7 7 3 6 6 1 7 3 6 5 88 Carmen Bozina '11
Amy Stuyvesant '13
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 6 6 2 4 7 6 4 2 5 6 7 4 5 6 6 6 5 3 90 Ashley Hobson '13
Martha Davis '12
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 7 7 5 5 3 7 7 6 4 5 8 8 8 8 5 5 7 6 111 Lauren Amery '12
Michelle Hanson '13
Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 9 8 9 8 9 8 9 8 9 8 5 7 9 9 8 7 8 8 146 Elizabeth Nihill '11
Lauren Mcnally '12
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 8 9 8 9 8 9 8 9 8 9 9 9 7 7 9 8 9 9 152 Janet Rumsey '13 [1-18]
Christina Stege '14 [1-2]
Natalie Cardoso '13 [3-18]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 3 2 2 1 4 2 3 2 2 1 4 4 3 1 1 3 1 41 Emily Dahl '13
Madeline Thompson '13
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 4 3 4 2 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 5 5 5 2 52 Hannah Burroughs '11
Megan Grove '10
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 2 4 6 5 1 5 7 3 3 3 3 6 1 4 2 1 5 62 Blair Johnston '11
Monica Orphan '10
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 6 1 1 1 4 5 3 2 5 4 5 5 2 5 2 8 4 3 66 Jaclyn Mcloughlin '10
Darla Baldwin '11
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 7 6 3 3 2 4 6 7 8 4 1 1 6 3 3 2 4 73 Morgane Renoir '12
Jessica Barhydt '10
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 7 5 8 7 6 7 6 4 6 7 6 6 5 2 9 7 6 6 110 Shannon Walker '11 [1-18]
Martha Thompson '10 [1-6, 11-18]
Emelia Pelliccio '13 [7-10]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 5 8 5 8 7 6 8 8 4 5 9 7 8 7 6 4 8 7 120 Megan Hayes '13
Alana Carrara '10
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 8 6 7 5 9 9 7 5 8 9 7 9 7 8 7 6 9 9 135 Maryan Gonnerman '11
Samantha Ortega '13
Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 9 9 9 9 8 8 9 DSQ 9 6 8 8 9 9 8 9 7 8 152 Alyssa Aoki '12
Alexa Pukall '11
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley446688113355779922
Chapman UniversityChapman University Panthers113355779922446688
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows881133557799224466
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters668811335577992244
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans992244668811335577
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal779922446688113355
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters224466881133557799
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles557799224466881133
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos335577992244668811

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley557799224466881133
Chapman UniversityChapman University Panthers224466881133557799
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows992244668811335577
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters779922446688113355
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans113355779922446688
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal881133557799224466
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters335577992244668811
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles668811335577992244
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos446688113355779922

Conditions — 04/24/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1018.9 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From SW (227°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover9% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1018.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn · SW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Southern Cal: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Cal by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Southern Cal, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →