SAISA North Points #2 @ NC State

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 11 6 17
2 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech 10 14 24
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 15 17 32
4 The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 29 28 57
5 Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 27 32 59
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 34 29 63
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech 3 1 1 1 2 2 10 Clinton Hodges '10
Andrew Battigaglia '12
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 2 3 3 1 1 11 Cameron Hall '13
Laura Beigel '13
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 3 2 2 3 3 15 Kathryn Hodges '11
Mary Collins '11
Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 4 5 5 4 4 5 27 Samuel Hodges '13
Jarrod Winslett '11
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 6 4 4 6 5 4 29 Lewis Herndon '11
Ryan Huggins '11
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 5 6 6 5 6 6 34
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Christopher Banholzer '13
Sarah Scudder '13
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech 2 2 2 2 3 3 14 Phil Forgione '12
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 3 3 3 4 2 2 17 Connor Ritmiller '13 [1-4]
Alex Rigsby '12 [5-6]
Alex Rigsby '12 [1-4]
Connor Ritmiller '13 [5-6]
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 4 4 6 3 5 6 28 Harry Westall '11
Chris Couch '12
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 5 5 4 5 6 4 29
Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 6 6 5 6 4 5 32 Logan Little '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Auburn114466
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars225577
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel446688
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers557711
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech668822
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University North Carolina State771144

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Auburn225577
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars446688
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel557711
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers668822
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech771144
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University North Carolina State882255

Conditions — 03/06/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1023.2 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 32°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 6.2 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From N (351°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1023.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at North Carolina State: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.25 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at North Carolina State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at North Carolina State).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →