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Southern Series 2 @ SRU

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 44 35 79
2 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 57 30 87
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 27 64 91
4 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 71 36 107
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 47 70 117
6 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 85 54 139
7 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 73 71 144
8 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 82 98 180
9 Providence College Providence College Friars 91 93 184
10 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 114 111 225
11 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 102 131 233
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 1 1 3 3 2 2 4 3 1 1 4 27 Nikolas Osvalds '11 [1-7]
Tommy Fink '13 [8-12]
Margot Elmaleh '12 [1-7]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 5 2 5 1 2 4 7 3 9 3 2 1 44 Quentin Chafee '11
Margaret Stone '11
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 4 2 2 9 3 3 2 1 2 9 9 47 Eric Decesar '11
Tate Tegtmeier '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 8 7 6 5 7 1 1 1 2 8 3 8 57 Michael Hession '10
Alexa Chu '11
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 5 8 6 8 9 4 7 4 5 6 6 71 Peter Hughes '11
Sabrina Amaro '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 8 3 7 6 6 6 5 7 6 5 10 73 William Cotta '11
Kristen Holloway '12
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 7 10 7 4 5 7 9 6 6 11 8 2 82 Michael Reney '13
Leo Connolly '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 11 6 10 10 1 5 11 9 8 7 4 3 85 Viktor Bolmgren '11
Wes Fleuchaus '11
Providence College Providence College Friars 6 3 4 9 11 11 5 8 10 9 10 5 91 Scott Brokaw '10
Brigitte Spillane '12
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 9 9 11 8 10 10 10 DNS 5 4 7 7 102 Dylan Griffin '12
Noah Citron '12
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 10 11 9 11 4 8 8 10 11 10 11 11 114 Cynthia Anderson '11
Vanessa Martã­Nez '11
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 2 1 4 3 1 4 4 2 3 1 2 30 Thomas Barrows '10
John Kempton '10
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 5 4 2 1 1 3 5 3 1 2 5 3 35 Ambrose Gosling '11
Derrick Deming '11
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 4 1 6 2 2 2 3 1 7 1 6 1 36 Chandler Salisbury '13
Stephanie Gagnon '10
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 3 4 8 7 5 2 2 6 8 2 5 54 Leah Hughes '11
Billy Rohman '11
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 6 5 6 5 4 1 9 9 6 8 4 64 Madeleine Harvey '12
Brandon Kaufmann '12
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 6 5 7 3 6 DSQ 6 5 4 4 4 8 70 Robert Keller '11
Austin Schwarz '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 7 7 3 5 4 8 7 8 8 5 3 6 71 Chris Grabe '10
Justine Morrison '13
Providence College Providence College Friars 10 10 8 7 8 7 8 7 3 9 9 7 93 Colden Johanson '10
Peter Van Name '11
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 8 9 10 9 10 9 9 6 5 7 7 9 98 Nate Olsen '13
Andrew Labbe '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 9 8 9 10 9 6 10 10 10 10 10 10 111 Sean Andrew '11
John Giuliano '11
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 11 11 11 11 11 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 131 Gabriel Elder '11
Taran Catania '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears11335577991111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22446688101011
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears33557799111122
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies88101011335577
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green44668810101133
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers55779911112244
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars66881010113355
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks77991111224466
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts99111122446688
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals10101133557799
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1111224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears22446688101011
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33557799111122
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears44668810101133
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies99111122446688
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green55779911112244
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers66881010113355
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars77991111224466
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks88101011335577
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts10101133557799
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1111224466881010
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs11335577991111

Conditions — 03/27/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1029.7 hPa

Temperature

34°F
↑ 36°F   ↓ 28°F
Feels like 26°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From ENE (73°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover23% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1029.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Salve Regina: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.38 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →