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St. Francis Intersectional

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 28 62 90
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 67 37 104
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 46 77 123
4 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 82 48 130
5 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 54 82 136
6 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 117 41 158
7 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 87 81 168
8 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 98 86 184
9 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 121 88 209
10 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 108 123 231
11 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 94 142 236
12 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 1 141 99 240
13 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 73 MRP 170 MRP 243 MRP
14 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 148 105 253
15 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 97 160 257
16 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 149 122 271
17 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 146 126 272
18 Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 152 127 279
19 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 158 127 285
20 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 148 140 288
21 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 129 163 292
22 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 157 192 349
23 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 2 194 186 380
24 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 182 205 387
25 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 205 194 399
26 University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 237 222 459
27 Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State 229 244 473
28 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 267 MRP 260 MRP 527 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 4 3 3 1 6 1 1 8 28 Sean Kelly '12 [1-9]
Jessica Schember '12 [1-8]
Andrew Freeman '10 [9]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 11 7 4 1 2 9 7 4 1 46 Nicholas Kaschak '12 [1-9]
Kimberly Tilton '11 [1-4, 7-8]
Logan Swartz '11 [5-6]
Matt Foster '11 [9]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 2 8 2 5 10 1 3 13 10 54 Glen Stellmacher '11 [1-9]
Haley Lane '13 [1-2, 7-8]
Bradley Sainsbury '10 [3-6, 9]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 15 1 12 2 8 10 11 6 2 67 Zachary Hester '10
Darla Baldwin '11
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 6 2 6 7 9 3 2 9 9 73 MRP Hannah Tuson-Turner '11
Hanne Nagatani '13
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 8 17 7 6 3 20 9 7 5 82 Nick Dugdale '12 [1-6]
Oliver Riihiluoma '12 [7-9]
Alexandra Dunlap '11 [1-4]
Katie Riklin '13 [5-6]
Iris Clayter '13 [7-9]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 12 15 1 11 6 8 12 15 7 87 Eliza Richartz '13
Rebecca King '13
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 16 12 16 13 5 7 17 5 3 94 Patrick Soper '18
Francesca Delle Cese '12
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 10 10 18 10 19 4 4 10 12 97 Cody Shevitz '12 [1-9]
Jacob Freimer '11 [1-4, 7-9]
Aubrey Toole '12 [5-6]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 7 20 20 15 13 2 5 12 4 98 Christopher Vetter '10 [1-9]
Christine Tatchell '10 [1-2]
Alexander Kraebel '11 [3-9]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 21 22 5 4 17 16 8 2 13 108 Samuel Harrison '12
Blake Martini '11
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 14 19 10 RAF 7 14 15 3 6 117 Jack Porter '11 [1-4, 7-9]
Brian Hoover '12 [5-6]
Monica Orphan '10 [1-2]
Frank O'Brien '10 [3-4, 7-9]
Austin Moore '13 [5-6]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 20 23 8 12 11 11 14 8 14 121 Kelsey Rupp '12
Madeline Thompson '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 22 11 15 9 12 15 16 14 15 129 Hannah Darrin '11
Katrina Flora '10
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 1 3 3 21 14 23 17 23 18 19 141 Mark Anders '10
Neha Bazaj '10
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 19 14 11 24 16 12 13 17 20 146 Keely Scates '12 [1-9]
Krystal Treiberg '12 [1-8]
Jessica Barhydt '10 [9]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 23 5 13 19 21 5 18 20 24 148 Craig Emmes '10
Sophie Thomas '10
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 25 24 17 16 18 13 6 11 18 148 Bradley Schoch '11
Zachary Haney '11
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 4 6 25 17 22 21 24 19 11 149 Andrew Cowley '12
Mike Mccarthy '14
Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 5 26 19 20 4 18 10 DNF 21 152 Max Moosmann '11
Lauren Mcnally '12
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 9 16 14 21 14 19 26 21 17 157 Michael Lazzaro '12
Jonathan Wilkerson '11
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 17 18 9 8 15 23 20 23 25 158 Yan Rui Goheen '17
Kathryn Schultz '10
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 18 9 22 22 20 24 22 16 DNS 182 Lauren Amery '12
Michelle Hanson '13
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 2 13 25 26 23 24 22 21 24 16 194 Carmen Bozina '11
Shannon Walker '11
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 26 21 23 18 26 28 19 22 22 205 Tate Wester '13
Caleb Hayes '11
Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State 24 13 24 DNF 28 26 27 DNF DNS 229 Aike Burger '16 [1-9]
Kyle Hartig '11 [1-2, 7-9]
Michael Luecker '11 [3-6]
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 27 27 27 25 27 27 25 DNF 23 237 Michael Reams '13
Peter Monroe '11
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 DNF 28 28 26 25 25 28 DNF DNS 267 MRP Leila Whitney '13
Aldyn Brudie '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 2 1 1 4 2 3 5 17 2 37 William Peterson '11
Tahnee Allman '12
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 7 4 2 6 5 3 6 7 41 Rex Cameron '12 [1-9]
Colin Averill '12 [1-2, 5-9]
Ryan Moore '10 [3-4]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 3 8 6 8 1 1 8 4 9 48 Peter Stemler '10 [1-9]
Katherine Jewett '11 [1-4]
Hayley Tobin '11 [5-9]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 6 9 12 11 8 6 7 2 1 62 James Davis '26 [1-2, 7-9]
Matthew Van Rensselaer '13 [3-6]
Nevin Garcia '12 [1-2, 5-9]
Sebastien Laleau '10 [3-4]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 4 17 5 1 7 2 25 1 15 77 Ryan Sullivan '12 [1-9]
Katherine Sander '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Matt Foster '11 [3-4]
Thomas Preston '12 [7-9]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 20 2 16 3 10 9 4 7 10 81 Hannah Burroughs '11
Megan Grove '10
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 9 11 11 13 4 22 2 5 5 82 Felipe Lopez '10
Kathryn Smith '10
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 8 5 2 5 DNS 8 6 12 11 86 Stephen Lue '12 [1-9]
Alexander Kraebel '11 [1-2]
Daniel Kivlovitz '12 [3-9]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 10 13 17 7 3 4 21 9 4 88 Emily Dahl '13
Sydney Morical '12
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 1 5 12 8 16 16 12 13 14 3 99 Oscar Jasklowski '11
Tatsuma Woo-Kawaguchi '10
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 7 4 3 19 13 15 12 8 24 105 Philip Gordon '12 [1-6]
Elliot Drake '12 [7-9]
Marissa Paulling '11 [1-6]
Philip Gordon '12 [7-9]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 12 14 10 14 14 7 14 16 21 122 Mickail Murawski '10
Jean Rutledge '13
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 14 15 13 12 12 10 15 15 17 123 Lindsay Grove '13 [1-6]
Maxwell Wyman '12 [7-9]
William Burke '13 [1-6]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 11 10 7 9 20 17 10 20 22 126 Morgane Renoir '12 [1-9]
Jessica Barhydt '10 [1-6]
Krystal Treiberg '12 [7-9]
Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 18 3 19 15 5 11 26 10 20 127 Aaron Krugman '10 [1-9]
Alyssa Aoki '12 [1-6]
Taylor Forster '13 [7-9]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego DSQ 6 14 6 11 18 17 13 13 127 Eric Alamillo '13
Marie Mclellan-Heck '11
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 15 16 9 24 19 19 23 3 12 140 James Hardenbergh '??
Kellsy Panno '10
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 19 24 20 18 9 13 22 11 6 142 Thomas Maher '12
Nicholas Hanne '12
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 16 20 18 17 15 23 11 26 14 160 Dan Sundberg '10
Sarah Adams '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 13 18 15 23 17 14 19 21 23 163 Alyce Flanagan '13 [1-9]
Ivy Gooch '12 [1-2, 7-9]
Rebecca Morse '12 [3-6]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 21 22 24 10 18 24 1 22 8 170 MRP Jaclyn Mcloughlin '10
Lindsay Stewart '13
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 2 24 25 23 21 23 16 18 18 18 186 Amy Stuyvesant '13
Martha Thompson '10
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 23 19 21 20 25 25 9 24 26 192 Ryan Lee '12
Elizabeth Thome '11
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 22 21 22 22 22 21 20 19 25 194 Taylor Miron '16 [1-9]
John Dictson '12 [1-4]
John Hart '11 [5-6]
Graham Dudik '11 [7-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 17 23 25 26 DNS 28 16 25 16 205 Megan Hayes '13
Alana Carrara '10
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes DNF DNS 26 28 24 20 24 23 19 222 James Dirkes '12
Annie Edinger '13
Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State DNF 26 28 27 26 27 27 27 27 244 Jeffrey Hickman '13
Derek Hellender '11
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 25 DNS 27 25 21 26 DNF DNS DNS 260 MRP Julia Purcel '10
Kristine Dewilde '11
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (35 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears242424242424242424
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang333333333
Chapman UniversityChapman University Panthers424242424242424242
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes999999999999777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 1171717171717171717
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 2181818181818181818
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters111111111111111111
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks222222222
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Oregon State757575757575757575
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 1777777777777777777
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 2787878787878787878
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 1373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 2383838383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 1212121212121212121
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 2222222222222222222
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 1272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 2282828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego292929292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1313131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2323232323232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz343434343434343434
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1818181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2828282828282828282

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears242424242424242424
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang333333333
Chapman UniversityChapman University Panthers424242424242424242
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes999999999999777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 1171717171717171717
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 2181818181818181818
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters111111111111111111
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks222222222
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Oregon State757575757575757575
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 1777777777777777777
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 2787878787878787878
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 1373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 2383838383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 1212121212121212121
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 2222222222222222222
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 1272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 2282828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego292929292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1313131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2323232323232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz343434343434343434
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1818181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2828282828282828282
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Patrick Soper '18 Francesca Delle Cese '12
Mustang Thomas Maher '12 Nicholas Hanne '12
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Sean Kelly '12 [1-9] Jessica Schember '12 [1-8]
Andrew Freeman '10 [9]
Keelhaulers James Davis '26 [1-2, 7-9]
Matthew Van Rensselaer '13 [3-6]		 Nevin Garcia '12 [1-2, 5-9]
Sebastien Laleau '10 [3-4]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Bradley Schoch '11 Zachary Haney '11
Otters James Hardenbergh '?? Kellsy Panno '10
Chapman University Chapman University Max Moosmann '11 Lauren Mcnally '12
Panthers Aaron Krugman '10 [1-9] Alyssa Aoki '12 [1-6]
Taylor Forster '13 [7-9]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Aike Burger '16 [1-9] Kyle Hartig '11 [1-2, 7-9]
Michael Luecker '11 [3-6]
Oregon State Jeffrey Hickman '13 Derek Hellender '11
Portland State University Portland State University Tate Wester '13 Caleb Hayes '11
Vikings 1 Taylor Miron '16 [1-9] John Dictson '12 [1-4]
John Hart '11 [5-6]
Graham Dudik '11 [7-9]
Portland State University Portland State University Leila Whitney '13 Aldyn Brudie '13
Vikings 2 Julia Purcel '10 Kristine Dewilde '11
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Samuel Harrison '12 Blake Martini '11
Santa Clara Lindsay Grove '13 [1-6]
Maxwell Wyman '12 [7-9]		 William Burke '13 [1-6]
Stanford University Stanford University Nick Dugdale '12 [1-6]
Oliver Riihiluoma '12 [7-9]		 Alexandra Dunlap '11 [1-4]
Katie Riklin '13 [5-6]
Iris Clayter '13 [7-9]
Cardinal 1 Peter Stemler '10 [1-9] Katherine Jewett '11 [1-4]
Hayley Tobin '11 [5-9]
Stanford University Stanford University Eliza Richartz '13 Rebecca King '13
Cardinal 2 Hannah Burroughs '11 Megan Grove '10
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Cody Shevitz '12 [1-9] Jacob Freimer '11 [1-4, 7-9]
Aubrey Toole '12 [5-6]
Berkeley Dan Sundberg '10 Sarah Adams '13
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Lauren Amery '12 Michelle Hanson '13
Golden Bears Megan Hayes '13 Alana Carrara '10
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Michael Lazzaro '12 Jonathan Wilkerson '11
UC Davis Ryan Lee '12 Elizabeth Thome '11
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Jack Porter '11 [1-4, 7-9]
Brian Hoover '12 [5-6]		 Monica Orphan '10 [1-2]
Frank O'Brien '10 [3-4, 7-9]
Austin Moore '13 [5-6]
Anteaters Rex Cameron '12 [1-9] Colin Averill '12 [1-2, 5-9]
Ryan Moore '10 [3-4]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Mark Anders '10 Neha Bazaj '10
UC Los Angeles 1 Oscar Jasklowski '11 Tatsuma Woo-Kawaguchi '10
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Carmen Bozina '11 Shannon Walker '11
UC Los Angeles 2 Amy Stuyvesant '13 Martha Thompson '10
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Yan Rui Goheen '17 Kathryn Schultz '10
UC San Diego Eric Alamillo '13 Marie Mclellan-Heck '11
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Nicholas Kaschak '12 [1-9] Kimberly Tilton '11 [1-4, 7-8]
Logan Swartz '11 [5-6]
Matt Foster '11 [9]
Gauchos 1 Ryan Sullivan '12 [1-9] Katherine Sander '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Matt Foster '11 [3-4]
Thomas Preston '12 [7-9]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Keely Scates '12 [1-9] Krystal Treiberg '12 [1-8]
Jessica Barhydt '10 [9]
Gauchos 2 Morgane Renoir '12 [1-9] Jessica Barhydt '10 [1-6]
Krystal Treiberg '12 [7-9]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Andrew Cowley '12 Mike Mccarthy '14
UC Santa Cruz Mickail Murawski '10 Jean Rutledge '13
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Michael Reams '13 Peter Monroe '11
Buffaloes James Dirkes '12 Annie Edinger '13
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Zachary Hester '10 Darla Baldwin '11
Rainbows 1 William Peterson '11 Tahnee Allman '12
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Hannah Tuson-Turner '11 Hanne Nagatani '13
Rainbows 2 Jaclyn Mcloughlin '10 Lindsay Stewart '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Craig Emmes '10 Sophie Thomas '10
Ducks Philip Gordon '12 [1-6]
Elliot Drake '12 [7-9]		 Marissa Paulling '11 [1-6]
Philip Gordon '12 [7-9]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Christopher Vetter '10 [1-9] Christine Tatchell '10 [1-2]
Alexander Kraebel '11 [3-9]
Trojans 1 Stephen Lue '12 [1-9] Alexander Kraebel '11 [1-2]
Daniel Kivlovitz '12 [3-9]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Kelsey Rupp '12 Madeline Thompson '13
Trojans 2 Emily Dahl '13 Sydney Morical '12
University of Washington University of Washington Glen Stellmacher '11 [1-9] Haley Lane '13 [1-2, 7-8]
Bradley Sainsbury '10 [3-6, 9]
Huskies 1 Felipe Lopez '10 Kathryn Smith '10
University of Washington University of Washington Hannah Darrin '11 Katrina Flora '10
Huskies 2 Alyce Flanagan '13 [1-9] Ivy Gooch '12 [1-2, 7-9]
Rebecca Morse '12 [3-6]

Conditions — 04/03/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.6 kn
Gusts to 23.3 kn
From WNW (296°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover63% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1017.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 14 kn · S 15 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Stanford: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.00 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →