Drexel Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 30 29 59
2 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 1 56 16 72
3 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 2 45 27 72
4 Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 34 42 76
5 Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 42 41 83
6 American University American University American 45 41 86
7 Royal Military College Royal Military College Royal Military 52 47 99
8 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 57 45 102
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 3 1 1 1 4 7 1 2 2 8 30 Roy Ingham '13
Nathan Fulcher '13
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 1 4 4 7 2 8 3 1 3 1 34 Paul Luisi '11 [1-6]
Paul Stevens '14 [7-10]
Rachel Armstrong '14 [1-6]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 2 5 7 2 6 3 2 DNF 1 5 42 Roxanne Schacht '13
Michael Larose '13
American University American University American 4 2 8 3 5 5 4 6 6 2 45 Bryan Schapperle '13
Kara Lang '11
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 2 7 6 3 4 1 4 6 3 5 6 45 Edward Doran '15
Clara Engel '13
Royal Military College Royal Military College Royal Military 8 8 2 8 3 1 5 7 7 3 52 Alanna Foscarini '13
Mitch Newman '12
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 1 6 3 5 5 8 6 7 4 8 4 56 Jennifer Mislinski '11
Molly Tarlofsky '12
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 5 7 6 6 7 2 8 5 4 7 57 Rebecca Johnson '12
Andrew Daponte '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 1 1 5 2 2 2 1 2 1 16 Jason Sinclair '13
Hunter Snyder '12
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 2 3 1 5 4 4 3 3 4 27 Chris Myers '15
Jessica Cordisco '15
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 4 6 1 1 6 2 1 8 29 John Handel '12
Cassaundra Hobbs '13
American University American University American 2 4 3 6 8 7 6 5 41 Noel Klingler '12
Adam Taube '14
Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 6 8 6 3 7 4 4 3 41 Troy Zangle '13
Marc Smith '13
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 7 3 8 7 5 5 5 2 42 Matthew Marciano '14
Shawn Diamond '13
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 5 2 7 8 1 8 7 7 45 Geneva O'Brien '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Emily Mccarthy '13 [3-4, 7-8]
Alyssa Canobbio '11 [1-2, 5-6]
Royal Military College Royal Military College Royal Military 8 7 4 5 3 6 8 6 47 Nic Ouelete '12
Mitch Newman '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
American UniversityAmerican University American1122334455
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons 12233445566
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons 23344556677
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth4455667788
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings5566778811
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester6677881122
Royal Military CollegeRoyal Military College Royal Military7788112233
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Webb Institute8811223344

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
American UniversityAmerican University American11223344
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons 122334455
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons 233445566
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth44556677
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings55667788
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester66778811
Royal Military CollegeRoyal Military College Royal Military77881122
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Webb Institute88112233

Conditions — 05/07/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1011.9 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 21.4 kn
From WNW (302°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover22% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1011.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn · N 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Drexel: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.25 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Drexel by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Drexel, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →