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MAISA Spring Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 5 5 10
2 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Herons 7 5 12
3 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 9 9 18
4 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 9 19 28
5 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 17 13 30
6 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 21 24 45
7 University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 20 31 51
8 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 32 23 55
9 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 39 19 58
10 Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 39 22 61
11 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 30 32 62
12 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 32 35 67
13 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 32 42 74
14 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 38 43 81
15 Hamilton Hamilton Hamilton 51 51 102
16 Skidmore Skidmore Skidmore 51 51 102
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 1 3 5 Timothy Zacher '13 [1-3]
Kathryn Moloney '13 [1]
Morgan Gould '14 [2-3]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Herons 3 2 2 7 Patrick Kana '12 [1-3]
Rebecca Liggins '13 [1, 3]
Holly Huffine '11 [2]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 3 4 9 Evan Siepert '13 [1-3]
Thomas Greathouse '14 [1]
Samantha Sofge '14 [2-3]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 4 4 1 9 Matthew Schoene '15
Paige Conlin '14
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 7 5 5 17 Alison Love '11 [1]
Connor Fitzpatrick '13 [2-3]
Katherine Soule '14 [1]
Katharine Close '14 [2-3]
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 5 9 6 20 Jacob Romanowsky '14 [1-3]
Paul Sozio '14 [1]
Caitlin Purnell '14 [2-3]
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 6 8 7 21 Robert Handler '13
Melissa Eiffert '14
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 8 11 11 30 Philip Oasis '13
Kevin Mu '13
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 9 6 DNF 32 Roy Ingham '13
Benjamin Smith '13
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 10 13 9 32 John Koehler '13
Rebecca Newman '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams DNF 7 8 32 Matthew Winter '14
Michael Gallagher '14
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 11 14 13 38 David Geer '13
Michael Bouchord '13
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons DNF 10 12 39 Jennifer Mislinski '11
Hunter Snyder '12
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer DNF 12 10 39 Lilian Neville '12
Nathaniel Macdonald '13
Hamilton Hamilton Hamilton DNS DNS DNS 51
Skidmore Skidmore Skidmore DNS DNS DNS 51
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Herons 1 3 1 5 Alex Butti '12
Jacqueline Day '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 1 2 5 Louis Padnos '14 [1-3]
Julia Oak '14 [1-2]
Robert Davenport '13 [3]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 4 2 3 9 Dan Crouch Crouch '12
Thomas Sippel '14
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 5 5 13 Hillary Paulsen '13
Emma Lejeune '13
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 5 8 6 19 Jason Sinclair '13
Kaity Ersek '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 9 6 4 19 Robert Boger '13
Erin Hofstetter '14
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 6 4 12 22 Eddie Einhaus '13
Kevin Petrikas '13
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 7 7 9 23 Michael Denigris '14
Claire Sullivan '13
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 8 9 7 24 Jon Gambacorta '13 [1-3]
Stephanie Rosenbaum '13 [1-2]
Dave Brusa '14 [3]
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 10 11 10 31 Kelly Rousmaniere '14
Christopher Stair '12
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 11 10 11 32 Andrew Werner '14
Thomas Senecal '14
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 13 14 8 35 Ben Barczewski '12
Michelle Edelstein '13
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 12 13 DNF 42 Josh Sharaf '12
Fiona Sheridan '13
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 14 12 DNF 43 James Peaco '14
James Dexter '13
Hamilton Hamilton Hamilton DNS DNS DNS 51
Skidmore Skidmore Skidmore DNS DNS DNS 51
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army112
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo16161
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions223
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red334
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons445
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams556
HamiltonHamilton Hamilton667
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Herons889
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen778
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners9910
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers101011
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers111112
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer141415
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester121213
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester131314
SkidmoreSkidmore Skidmore151516

Division B

Team1B2B3B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army112
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo16161
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions223
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red334
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons445
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams556
HamiltonHamilton Hamilton667
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Herons889
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen778
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners9910
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers101011
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers111112
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer141415
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester121213
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester131314
SkidmoreSkidmore Skidmore151516
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University John Koehler '13 Rebecca Newman '12
Lions Ben Barczewski '12 Michelle Edelstein '13
Cornell University Cornell University Alison Love '11 [1]
Connor Fitzpatrick '13 [2-3]		 Katherine Soule '14 [1]
Katharine Close '14 [2-3]
Big Red Hillary Paulsen '13 Emma Lejeune '13
Drexel University Drexel University Jennifer Mislinski '11 Hunter Snyder '12
Dragons Jason Sinclair '13 Kaity Ersek '15
Fordham University Fordham University Matthew Winter '14 Michael Gallagher '14
Rams Michael Denigris '14 Claire Sullivan '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Patrick Kana '12 [1-3] Rebecca Liggins '13 [1, 3]
Holly Huffine '11 [2]
Herons Alex Butti '12 Jacqueline Day '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Timothy Zacher '13 [1-3] Kathryn Moloney '13 [1]
Morgan Gould '14 [2-3]
Statesmen Louis Padnos '14 [1-3] Julia Oak '14 [1-2]
Robert Davenport '13 [3]
Princeton University Princeton University Philip Oasis '13 Kevin Mu '13
Tigers Andrew Werner '14 Thomas Senecal '14
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Lilian Neville '12 Nathaniel Macdonald '13
Rensselaer Eddie Einhaus '13 Kevin Petrikas '13
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Roy Ingham '13 Benjamin Smith '13
Rochester Josh Sharaf '12 Fiona Sheridan '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Matthew Schoene '15 Paige Conlin '14
Privateers Dan Crouch Crouch '12 Thomas Sippel '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Evan Siepert '13 [1-3] Thomas Greathouse '14 [1]
Samantha Sofge '14 [2-3]
Mariners Robert Boger '13 Erin Hofstetter '14
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy David Geer '13 Michael Bouchord '13
Army James Peaco '14 James Dexter '13
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Robert Handler '13 Melissa Eiffert '14
Buffalo Jon Gambacorta '13 [1-3] Stephanie Rosenbaum '13 [1-2]
Dave Brusa '14 [3]
University of Rochester University of Rochester Jacob Romanowsky '14 [1-3] Paul Sozio '14 [1]
Caitlin Purnell '14 [2-3]
U. Rochester Kelly Rousmaniere '14 Christopher Stair '12

Conditions — 04/16/2011 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1010.2 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 32°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
16.1 kn
avg  ·  max 18.6 kn
Gusts to 57.5 kn
From SE (146°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.2 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1010.2 hPa Rain0.37 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 25 kn · W 18 kn · W 7 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hobart & William Sm: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.20)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.27
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.31 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.20 means a rating gap counts about 17% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hobart & William Sm by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (30 labelled days at Hobart & William Sm).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →