SAISA South Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 17 22 39
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 18 26 44
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 21 29 50
4 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 41 13 54
5 Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 28 30 58
6 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 50 51 101
7 Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 49 53 102
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 2 2 1 1 2 5 3 17 Max Famiglietti '13
Matthew Wilson '11
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 1 3 3 2 1 1 4 18 David Harrison '13
Gregory Schreiber '11
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 6 1 2 4 3 2 1 21 Amy Baxter '13 [1-6]
Lara Dallman-Weiss '11 [7-8]
Lara Dallman-Weiss '11 [1-6]
Amy Baxter '13 [7-8]
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 2 28 Emily Nys '13
Tristan Jackson '11
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 5 6 5 5 6 3 6 41 Ben Jassin '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Amy Gaylord '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Michelle Harrison '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Clara Robison '13 [3-4]
Liam Munzenmaier '13 [7-8]
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 6 4 5 6 7 7 7 7 49 David Lasky '11 [1-8]
Matthew Palsha '13 [1-6]
Jonathan Falk '13 [7-8]
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 7 7 7 7 6 5 6 5 50 Samuel Thornton '14
Richard Zay '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 3 1 1 3 1 1 1 13 Alex Olt '12 [1-2]
Nicholas Voss '12 [3-4]
David Hernandez '12 [5-8]
Nikki Bruno '12 [1-2]
Jared Payne '14 [3-4]
Nicholas Voss '12 [5-6]
Michelle Harrison '13 [7-8]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 3 4 2 2 1 2 4 4 22 Danny Levy '11 [1-8]
Allison Gray '13 [1-6]
Catherine Burns '11 [7-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 1 4 4 4 4 3 5 26 Gregory Schreiber '11
Michelle Graham '14
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 5 5 5 5 2 3 2 2 29 Erik Brydges '14
Lissa Mcclung '14
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 4 2 3 3 5 5 5 3 30 Ramona Snowden '12
Caroline Leed '14
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 6 7 6 6 7 7 6 6 51 Michael Long '14
Maria Phillips '13
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 7 6 7 7 6 6 7 7 53 Alberto Olivo '12
Karlee Kuersteiner '11
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11225566
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators33447788
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State44338877
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes55661122
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College66552211
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins77883344
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls88774433

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons33447788
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators55661122
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State66552211
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes77883344
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College88774433
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins11225566
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls22116655
School / Team SkipperCrew
Eckerd College Eckerd College Amy Baxter '13 [1-6]
Lara Dallman-Weiss '11 [7-8]
Lara Dallman-Weiss '11 [1-6]
Amy Baxter '13 [7-8]
Tritons Erik Brydges '14 Lissa Mcclung '14
Florida State University Florida State University David Lasky '11 [1-8] Matthew Palsha '13 [1-6]
Jonathan Falk '13 [7-8]
Florida State Alberto Olivo '12 Karlee Kuersteiner '11
New College of Florida New College of Florida Samuel Thornton '14 Richard Zay '14
New College Michael Long '14 Maria Phillips '13
Rollins College Rollins College Emily Nys '13 Tristan Jackson '11
Rollins Ramona Snowden '12 Caroline Leed '14
University of Florida University of Florida Max Famiglietti '13 Matthew Wilson '11
Gators Danny Levy '11 [1-8] Allison Gray '13 [1-6]
Catherine Burns '11 [7-8]
University of Miami University of Miami Ben Jassin '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Amy Gaylord '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Michelle Harrison '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Clara Robison '13 [3-4]
Liam Munzenmaier '13 [7-8]
Hurricanes Alex Olt '12 [1-2]
Nicholas Voss '12 [3-4]
David Hernandez '12 [5-8]
Nikki Bruno '12 [1-2]
Jared Payne '14 [3-4]
Nicholas Voss '12 [5-6]
Michelle Harrison '13 [7-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida David Harrison '13 Gregory Schreiber '11
Bulls Gregory Schreiber '11 Michelle Graham '14

Conditions — 03/26/2011 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1014.7 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.9 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From SSE (164°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover41% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1014.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Miami: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Miami by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at U. Miami).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →