Southern Series 4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 23 23 46
2 Providence College Providence College Friars 19 28 47
3 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 18 39 57
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 38 19 57
5 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 45 13 58
6 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 20 45 65
7 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 39 39 78
8 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 54 52 106
9 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 59 60 119
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 6 1 3 1 3 1 18 Rob Struckett '12
Isabel Elliman '12
Providence College Providence College Friars 2 1 2 2 2 4 6 19 Kevin Cassidy '11 [1-7]
Caroline Doyle '13 [1-6]
Paul Sullivan '?? [7]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 3 5 1 3 1 2 20 Ian Hollerbach '14
Megan Carlson '12
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 4 3 4 6 2 3 23 Emmett Weeks '14
Tucker Adams '11
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 5 4 6 4 6 7 38 Colin Patterson '11
Julie Pringle '14
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 4 2 6 5 9 8 5 39 Robert Keller '11
Micaela Sullivan '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 8 8 7 5 5 4 45 Douglas Young '12
Mike Filiman '11
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 7 7 9 8 7 7 9 54 James Fales '13
Ben Ryan '14
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 9 9 7 9 8 9 8 59 Steven Apperle '12
Mary Herman '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 4 1 1 4 1 1 13 Andrew Moakes '13
Julia Horenstein '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 2 2 4 2 4 2 19 Charles Proctor '14
Mara Porter '14
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 1 3 2 3 2 DSQ 23 Madeleine Harvey '12 [1-2, 5]
Jacob Tower '11 [3-4, 6-7]
Jacob Tower '11 [1-2, 5]
Madeleine Harvey '12 [3-4, 6-7]
Providence College Providence College Friars 4 5 5 3 1 6 4 28 Gregory Cassidy '13
Erin Snyder '??
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 6 3 4 6 8 7 5 39 Tom Mckenzie '13
Nicole Ioannilli '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 7 6 7 5 6 5 3 39 William Feldman '14
Sinead O'Brien '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 7 6 9 5 3 DSQ 45 Richard Jordan '14
Carleton Huntsberger '12
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 8 8 8 7 7 8 6 52 William Kresic '13
Rebecca Sylvia '14
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 9 9 9 8 9 9 7 60 Amanda Balbi '17 [1-4]
Michael Hoffman '12 [5-7]
Emily Greagori '13 [1-4]
Marina Merchant '18 [5-7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears77889910
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies99101010102
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats10101010223
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars5566778
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams2233334
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks4455667
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks8899101010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos3344556
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs6677889

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears77889910
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies99101010102
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats10101010223
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars5566778
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams2233334
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks4455667
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks8899101010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos3344556
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs6677889

Conditions — 04/10/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1020.9 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.9 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From SSW (195°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1020.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Providence: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Providence by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Providence, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →