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Western Canada Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 33 21 54
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 62 38 100
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 69 47 116
4 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 33 89 122
5 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 62 60 122
6 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 92 90 182
7 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia British Columbia 1 98 88 186
8 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 102 96 198
9 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 1 77 131 208
10 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia British Columbia 2 141 92 233
11 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 2 119 122 241
12 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 127 144 271
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 7 1 1 4 5 5 33 Bryan Rust '11
Charles Hartman '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 1 1 4 1 3 7 4 3 3 2 1 1 33 Christopher Fuller '12
Jordan Cutter '14
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 3 5 8 3 5 6 8 3 6 2 7 2 4 62 Evan Rankin '12
Brianna Cerkiewicz '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 10 3 7 5 6 2 9 1 2 7 1 3 6 62 Sara Welsh '12 [1-8]
Erika Vranizan '12 [9-13]
Erika Vranizan '12 [1-8]
Sara Welsh '12 [9-13]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 6 7 4 7 4 9 3 6 5 6 3 6 3 69 Paul Foley '15
Shelby Allman '13
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 1 4 8 3 2 3 8 5 9 7 9 5 7 7 77 Mike Knape '12
Annin Ramsing '13
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 8 10 6 9 7 7 2 8 4 5 9 8 9 92 Leila Whitney '13
Brianne Busey '14
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia British Columbia 1 7 6 5 11 12 4 10 5 11 10 6 9 2 98 Neil Roberts '16
Ryan Cutting '13
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 12 4 9 8 10 10 4 10 9 4 8 4 10 102 Phoebe Gilday '14
Matthew Fitzsimmons '13
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 2 9 12 11 6 8 5 6 11 8 12 10 10 11 119 John Elam '11
Jen Vroomen '11
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 5 9 12 10 9 12 12 2 10 11 11 12 12 127 Mitchell Mclean '12 [1-13]
John Hart '11 [1-4, 6-13]
Kali Pauling '14 [5]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia British Columbia 2 11 11 10 12 11 11 11 12 12 8 DSQ 11 8 141 Alex Dodd '13
Andrew Porritt '11
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 4 1 2 1 3 1 21 Ian Reeves '12
Meghan Mcdonald '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 4 2 4 1 3 3 4 5 3 1 2 2 4 38 Ashley Vincent '12
Angela Gossom '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 2 4 2 3 DSQ 5 1 2 2 5 4 1 3 47 Alex Waldron '13
Emma Huey '12
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 3 3 3 9 DSQ 2 3 1 4 3 3 6 7 60 Robert Berry '13
Samantha Palmer '14
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia British Columbia 1 5 5 5 8 9 11 9 6 5 4 6 7 8 88 Elisha Allen '13
Madelyn Jones '12
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies OCS 7 7 4 4 12 5 7 8 7 8 5 2 89 Aaron Scull '12 [1-13]
Parker Steichen '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Samuel Fletcher '13 [3-4, 7-13]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 8 9 8 7 5 6 8 3 9 8 9 4 6 90 Aldyn Brudie '13
Sarah Derby '14
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia British Columbia 2 7 10 6 5 2 7 6 12 6 6 7 9 9 92 Sean Fleming '13
Cameron Semple '13
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 6 6 9 6 8 4 10 10 10 9 5 8 5 96 Evan Medsger '15
Baily Goodwine '11
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 2 9 12 11 11 7 10 7 8 7 10 10 10 10 122 Samuel Maritz '13
Mary (Liza) Holtz '13
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 1 11 8 10 10 6 9 11 9 12 11 12 11 11 131 David Eva '12 [1-8]
Kyle Kubler '13 [9-13]
Kyle Kubler '13 [1-8]
Mike Knape '12 [9-10]
John Elam '11 [11-13]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 10 11 12 12 10 8 12 11 11 12 11 12 12 144 Jackson Thomas '15 [1-6, 9-13]
Carson Wright '11 [7-8]
Gary Cozad '13 [1-6, 9-13]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.270+0.27
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia British Columbia 14444444444444
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia British Columbia 21111111111111
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 178787878787878787878787878
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 277777777777777777777777777
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound 184848484848484848484848484
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound 283838383838383838383838383
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 15555555555555
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 26666666666666
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181818181818181

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia British Columbia 14444444444444
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia British Columbia 21111111111111
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 178787878787878787878787878
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 277777777777777777777777777
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound 184848484848484848484848484
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound 283838383838383838383838383
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 15555555555555
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 26666666666666
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181818181818181
School / Team SkipperCrew
Portland State University Portland State University Leila Whitney '13 Brianne Busey '14
Vikings 1 Aldyn Brudie '13 Sarah Derby '14
Portland State University Portland State University Mitchell Mclean '12 [1-13] John Hart '11 [1-4, 6-13]
Kali Pauling '14 [5]
Vikings 2 Jackson Thomas '15 [1-6, 9-13]
Carson Wright '11 [7-8]		 Gary Cozad '13 [1-6, 9-13]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Neil Roberts '16 Ryan Cutting '13
British Columbia 1 Elisha Allen '13 Madelyn Jones '12
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Alex Dodd '13 Andrew Porritt '11
British Columbia 2 Sean Fleming '13 Cameron Semple '13
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Mike Knape '12 Annin Ramsing '13
Puget Sound 1 David Eva '12 [1-8]
Kyle Kubler '13 [9-13]		 Kyle Kubler '13 [1-8]
Mike Knape '12 [9-10]
John Elam '11 [11-13]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound John Elam '11 Jen Vroomen '11
Puget Sound 2 Samuel Maritz '13 Mary (Liza) Holtz '13
University of Victoria University of Victoria Evan Rankin '12 Brianna Cerkiewicz '14
Thunder 1 Robert Berry '13 Samantha Palmer '14
University of Victoria University of Victoria Phoebe Gilday '14 Matthew Fitzsimmons '13
Thunder 2 Evan Medsger '15 Baily Goodwine '11
University of Washington University of Washington Christopher Fuller '12 Jordan Cutter '14
Huskies Aaron Scull '12 [1-13] Parker Steichen '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Samuel Fletcher '13 [3-4, 7-13]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Sara Welsh '12 [1-8]
Erika Vranizan '12 [9-13]		 Erika Vranizan '12 [1-8]
Sara Welsh '12 [9-13]
Vikings 1 Ashley Vincent '12 Angela Gossom '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Bryan Rust '11 Charles Hartman '13
Vikings 2 Ian Reeves '12 Meghan Mcdonald '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Paul Foley '15 Shelby Allman '13
Vikings 3 Alex Waldron '13 Emma Huey '12

Conditions — 03/05/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1019.2 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
15.8 kn
avg  ·  max 19.4 kn
Gusts to 35.8 kn
From N (351°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover53% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1019.2 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn · N 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Victoria: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Victoria by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Victoria, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →