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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 1 13 25 38
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 28 14 42
3 Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 20 43 63
4 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 34 34 68
5 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 2 49 22 71
6 Carleton College Carleton College Knights 35 56 91
7 Purple Purple Purple 63 43 106
8 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 59 55 114
9 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 59 68 127
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 4 1 13 Drake Lundeen '14 [1-8]
Aaron Martinson '14 [1-4]
Allison Forbes '14 [5-8]
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 3 2 2 1 4 2 3 3 20
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 6 5 5 3 1 4 2 2 28 Rachel Barch '13
Joanna Harr '14
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 4 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 34 Zi Chong Kao '14
Katy Carlyle '15
Carleton College Carleton College Knights 5 6 4 5 7 3 1 4 35 Catherine Townes '12
Charolette Zimmerman '15
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 2 2 4 6 9 9 7 6 6 49 Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer '14
Lauren Rieves '14
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 7 9 8 8 3 6 9 9 59 Philip Niles '12
Will Fenton '11
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 9 7 7 6 6 8 8 8 59 Davis Dolson '14
Purple Purple Purple 8 8 9 7 8 9 7 7 63
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 3 1 2 3 1 1 2 1 14 Katie Barbour '15
Emily Plumley '15
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 2 1 6 6 2 2 2 1 2 22 Kirstin Wilson '12
Brianna Chu '13
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 1 2 2 1 1 3 8 3 5 25 Chris Loew-Blosser '14 [1-4]
Charles Faust '14 [5-8]
Madeline Hoover '14 [1-4]
Chris Loew-Blosser '14 [5-8]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 5 3 4 4 4 4 7 3 34 Michael Kang '12 [1-8]
Melita Aquino '13 [1-6]
Katy Carlyle '15 [7-8]
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 7 4 3 5 7 5 5 7 43
Purple Purple Purple 8 8 5 6 5 3 4 4 43
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 4 9 8 7 6 7 8 6 55 Courtney Kronschnabel '15
Casey Munger '14
Carleton College Carleton College Knights 6 5 7 8 9 6 6 9 56 Marina Watowich '15
Danny Hansen '15
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 9 7 9 9 8 9 9 8 68 William Lane '15
Kathleen Schneider '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Carleton CollegeCarleton College Knights1313151517171919
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons1414161618182020
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 11616181820201313
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 21717191921211414
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines1515171719192121
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women 12020131315151717
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women 22121141416161818
PurplePurple Purple1919212114141616
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats1818202013131515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Carleton CollegeCarleton College Knights1414161618182020
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons1515171719192121
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 11717191921211414
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 21818202013131515
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines1616181820201313
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women 12121141416161818
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women 21313151517171919
PurplePurple Purple2020131315151717
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats1919212114141616

Conditions — 05/12/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1024.7 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 17.9 kn
From NE (35°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine7.4 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1024.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 5 kn · W 10 kn · W 9 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wisconsin: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.34 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wisconsin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (41 labelled days at Wisconsin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →