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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 27 28 55
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 44 19 63
3 University of Michigan University of Michigan Maize 56 40 96
4 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 75 56 131
5 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee 46 MRP 91 MRP 137 MRP
6 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 69 MRP 76 MRP 145 MRP
7 Grinnell College Grinnell College Pioneers 110 37 147
8 University of Michigan University of Michigan Blue 65 96 161
9 Purdue University Purdue University Purdue 81 81 162
10 Washington University Washington University Bears 89 MRP 111 MRP 200 MRP
11 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 111 MRP 103 MRP 214 MRP
12 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 100 125 225
13 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 141 MRP 146 MRP 287 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 3 3 3 2 3 6 3 1 2 27 Travis Cottle '15
Erica Haybron '15
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 7 2 2 2 10 8 3 4 2 4 44 David Oliver '14 [1-10]
Liz Smith '14 [1-4, 9-10]
Edward Zelenak '15 [5-8]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee 2 1 1 1 1 4 1 8 6 1 46 MRP Whitney Kent '15
Hannah Noll '15
University of Michigan University of Michigan Maize 9 11 4 5 3 5 2 1 4 12 56 Katie Barbour '15 [1-10]
Vittorio Bichucher '14 [1-4]
Tyler Weiss '15 [5-8]
Jenny Koloms '15 [9-10]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Blue 8 4 7 7 4 7 5 6 10 7 65 Ryan Davidson '15 [1-10]
Elizabeth Wallace '15 [1-4, 9-10]
Charles White '15 [5-8]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 5 6 6 4 6 6 4 2 7 3 69 MRP Aras Karaitis '12
Vytenis Karaitis '14
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 6 7 8 8 5 2 DSQ DSQ 5 6 75 Zi Chong Kao '14 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Nicholas Lewis '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Katy Carlyle '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Melita Aquino '13 [3-4, 7-8]
Nicholas Lewis '12 [9-10]
Purdue University Purdue University Purdue 3 13 5 10 11 9 7 5 8 10 81 George Halsted '07
David Mirkhaef '15
Washington University Washington University Bears 4 5 13 9 7 1 12 10 3 5 89 MRP William Putnam Jr. '12 [1-4, 7]
Mary Prothero '15 [5-6, 8-10]
Mary Prothero '15 [1-2, 7-8]
Sonya Schoenberger '15 [3-4]
Katherine Palmer '14 [5-6]
Morgan Carlile '14 [9-10]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 10 10 9 13 8 10 9 11 11 9 100 Katy Aiello '12
Julie Bollinger '12
Grinnell College Grinnell College Pioneers 11 9 11 11 13 13 10 9 12 11 110 Jonah Ellman '12 [1-4, 7-8]
Rebecca Salter '15 [5-6, 9-10]
Talora Martin '15 [1-2, 7-8]
Alexandra Byrne '15 [3-4]
Cory Brooke-Debock '13 [5-6, 9-10]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 13 8 12 6 9 11 8 7 9 8 111 MRP Timothy Mcelreath '13
Charles Rysenga '14
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 12 12 10 12 12 12 11 12 DNS DNS 141 MRP Nick Van Antwerp '15
Glen Ko '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 2 1 1 1 5 2 1 2 3 19 Rachel Barch '13 [1-10]
Alex Mayo '15 [1-4, 9-10]
Katie Barlow '25 [5-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 4 4 5 2 2 2 3 2 BKD 1 28 David Kluger '12 [1-10]
Izora Baltys '15 [1-8]
C Jones '14 [9-10]
Grinnell College Grinnell College Pioneers 2 5 2 4 6 3 5 4 1 5 37 Ian Schappe '14 [1-10]
Zev Braun '15 [1-2, 7-8]
Sambit Behera '13 [3-4]
Joseph Lohman '14 [5-6, 9-10]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Maize 6 7 4 6 4 1 1 3 6 2 40 Kelly Seago '14 [1-4, 9-10]
Dan Bracciano '14 [5-8]
Blake Bambach '15 [1-4, 9-10]
Chelsea Powell '14 [5-8]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 3 3 3 5 11 6 10 5 3 7 56 Michael Kang '12 [1-6, 8-10]
Melita Aquino '13 [7]
Madeleine Weisman '12 [1-7]
Katy Carlyle '15 [8-10]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 8 1 11 8 5 4 4 7 4 4 76 MRP John Buzzell '14
Michael Niacaris '13
Purdue University Purdue University Purdue 9 8 8 3 8 11 7 6 10 11 81 Jessica Traver '13
Kristen Rathbun '14
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee 5 6 9 7 3 7 9 9 8 8 91 MRP Autumn Morden '15
Orlee Roza '13
University of Michigan University of Michigan Blue 10 11 10 10 9 9 6 10 11 10 96 Jason Doyle '14 [1-10]
Joanna Harr '14 [1-4, 9-10]
Emily Plumley '15 [5-8]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 11 9 6 9 7 8 11 11 5 6 103 MRP Doug Rombach '12
Eryn Grupido '13
Washington University Washington University Bears 7 10 7 11 12 10 8 8 9 9 111 MRP Andrew Hess '14 [1-4, 7-10]
Sonya Schoenberger '15 [5-6]
Amanda Netburn '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Morgan Carlile '14 [3-4, 7-8]
Sonya Schoenberger '15 [9-10]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 13 12 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 125 Michael Metzen '14
Christopher Moore '14
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 12 13 12 12 10 12 13 DNS DNS DNS 146 MRP Haley Johnson '14 [1-2, 7-10]
Emily Van Dam '12 [3-6]
Haley Johnson '14 [1-2, 7-10]
Emily Van Dam '12 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons1133557799
Grinnell CollegeGrinnell College Pioneers224466881010
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini335577991313
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers44668810101212
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Blue77991111131322
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Maize66881010121211
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines55779911111111
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One88101012121133
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats99111113132244
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Purdue10101212113355
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee11111313224466
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears131322446688
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan121211335577

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons224466881010
Grinnell CollegeGrinnell College Pioneers335577991111
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini44668810131313
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers55779911111212
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Blue88101012121133
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Maize77991111131022
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines66881010121211
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One99111113132244
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats10101212113355
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Purdue11111313224466
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee121211335577
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears1133557799
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan131322446688
School / Team SkipperCrew
Grinnell College Grinnell College Jonah Ellman '12 [1-4, 7-8]
Rebecca Salter '15 [5-6, 9-10]		 Talora Martin '15 [1-2, 7-8]
Alexandra Byrne '15 [3-4]
Cory Brooke-Debock '13 [5-6, 9-10]
Pioneers Ian Schappe '14 [1-10] Zev Braun '15 [1-2, 7-8]
Sambit Behera '13 [3-4]
Joseph Lohman '14 [5-6, 9-10]
Indiana University Indiana University Katy Aiello '12 Julie Bollinger '12
Hoosiers Michael Metzen '14 Christopher Moore '14
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Timothy Mcelreath '13 Charles Rysenga '14
Husky One Doug Rombach '12 Eryn Grupido '13
Northwestern University Northwestern University Travis Cottle '15 Erica Haybron '15
Wildcats David Kluger '12 [1-10] Izora Baltys '15 [1-8]
C Jones '14 [9-10]
Purdue University Purdue University George Halsted '07 David Mirkhaef '15
Purdue Jessica Traver '13 Kristen Rathbun '14
University of Chicago University of Chicago Zi Chong Kao '14 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Nicholas Lewis '12 [3-4, 7-8]		 Katy Carlyle '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Melita Aquino '13 [3-4, 7-8]
Nicholas Lewis '12 [9-10]
Maroons Michael Kang '12 [1-6, 8-10]
Melita Aquino '13 [7]		 Madeleine Weisman '12 [1-7]
Katy Carlyle '15 [8-10]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Nick Van Antwerp '15 Glen Ko '15
Illini Haley Johnson '14 [1-2, 7-10]
Emily Van Dam '12 [3-6]		 Haley Johnson '14 [1-2, 7-10]
Emily Van Dam '12 [3-6]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Ryan Davidson '15 [1-10] Elizabeth Wallace '15 [1-4, 9-10]
Charles White '15 [5-8]
Blue Jason Doyle '14 [1-10] Joanna Harr '14 [1-4, 9-10]
Emily Plumley '15 [5-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Katie Barbour '15 [1-10] Vittorio Bichucher '14 [1-4]
Tyler Weiss '15 [5-8]
Jenny Koloms '15 [9-10]
Maize Kelly Seago '14 [1-4, 9-10]
Dan Bracciano '14 [5-8]		 Blake Bambach '15 [1-4, 9-10]
Chelsea Powell '14 [5-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan David Oliver '14 [1-10] Liz Smith '14 [1-4, 9-10]
Edward Zelenak '15 [5-8]
Wolverines Rachel Barch '13 [1-10] Alex Mayo '15 [1-4, 9-10]
Katie Barlow '25 [5-8]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Whitney Kent '15 Hannah Noll '15
UW Milwaukee Autumn Morden '15 Orlee Roza '13
Washington University Washington University William Putnam Jr. '12 [1-4, 7]
Mary Prothero '15 [5-6, 8-10]		 Mary Prothero '15 [1-2, 7-8]
Sonya Schoenberger '15 [3-4]
Katherine Palmer '14 [5-6]
Morgan Carlile '14 [9-10]
Bears Andrew Hess '14 [1-4, 7-10]
Sonya Schoenberger '15 [5-6]		 Amanda Netburn '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Morgan Carlile '14 [3-4, 7-8]
Sonya Schoenberger '15 [9-10]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Aras Karaitis '12 Vytenis Karaitis '14
Western Michigan John Buzzell '14 Michael Niacaris '13

Conditions — 04/07/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1023.7 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From SSE (157°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover71% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1023.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn · NW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Northwestern: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.26
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.50 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northwestern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Northwestern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →