University of Wisconsin Milwaukee '15
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.35 (fleet 1.87) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 9–3 (75%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2013 | 1 | 9–3 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (12 matches) the record is 9–3 against 8.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-11-02 | Big Ten Team Race | skipper | 1.57 | 2.13 | 9–3 | 8.7 | +0.56 | 0.1 | 69% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2012 Season | |||||
| WYW | Skipper | A | 10 | 2.6 | 2.35 |
| 3 Division | Skipper | A | 4 | 6.2 | 0.22 |
| Fall 2011 Season | |||||
| Timme Tune-Up | Skipper | B | 8 | 5.6 | 1.67 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Whitney Kent |  University of Wisconsin |
'15 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
