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3 Division

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 11 8 8 27
2 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 2 11 16 17 44
3 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 1 10 10 25 45
4 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 35 18 15 68
5 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 23 33 14 70
6 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee 25 20 28 73
7 Carleton College Carleton College Knights 15 32 41 88
8 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 36 42 11 89
9 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 35 26 30 91
10 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 31 34 35 100
11 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 35 26 40 101
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 1 2 4 2 2 10 Natalie Sinn '12
Sarah Ellis '14
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 1 8 1 11 Eric Tobias '13
Arielle Henderson '13
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 2 3 2 1 5 11 Emily Oltrogge '15
Brianna Chu '13
Carleton College Carleton College Knights 5 3 3 4 15 Catherine Townes '12
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 4 6 5 8 23 David Kluger '12
Izora Baltys '15
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee 10 8 4 3 25 Whitney Kent '15
Hannah Noll '15
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 9 9 7 6 31 Philip Niles '12
Will Fenton '11
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 6 11 9 9 35
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 8 10 6 11 35 Jared Ottmann '14
Meghan Smith '15
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 11 5 DSQ 7 35 Zi Chong Kao '14
Katy Carlyle '15
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 7 7 DSQ 10 36
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 2 1 3 2 8 Bridget Murphy '15 [1-4]
Jessica Seline '14 [1-2]
Juliana Montero '13 [3-4]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 1 3 5 1 1 10 Drake Lundeen '14
Aaron Martinson '14
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 2 1 3 2 10 16 Jessie Olson '15
Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer '14
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 5 4 5 4 18 Michael Kang '12
Leah Chapman '15
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee 7 6 4 3 20 Autumn Morden '15
Jacob Stone '13
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 4 7 9 6 26 Hannah Kratz '12 [1-4]
Seth Kratz '14 [1-2]
Kathryn Biang '13 [3-4]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 6 2 6 OCS 26 Harrison Faust '16
Eric Johnson '15
Carleton College Carleton College Knights 9 10 8 5 32 Catherine Townes '12
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 10 9 7 7 33 C Jones '14
Erica Haybron '15
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 8 8 10 8 34 Courtney Kronschnabel '15
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 11 11 11 9 42 Dillan Newbold '14 [1-2]
Paul Vatterott '12 [3-4]
Joseph Knight '16 [1-2]
Peter Hasakis '13 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 2 3 2 8 Phillip Morley '13
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 4 1 5 1 11 Eric Sauter '13
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 6 2 4 14 Emily Fontaine '14
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 3 5 4 3 15 Nicholas Lewis '12
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 2 7 3 1 6 17 Charles Faust '14
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 1 5 7 8 5 25 Kirstin Wilson '12
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee 10 4 7 7 28 Isak Peterson '15
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 8 8 6 8 30 Brendan Walsh '11
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 6 9 11 9 35 Michael Bermeo '13 [1-3]
Davis Dolson '14 [4]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 9 11 9 11 40 Douglas White Iii '14
Carleton College Carleton College Knights 11 10 10 10 41 Catherine Townes '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Carleton CollegeCarleton College Knights881010
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons991111
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes10101212
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles11111313
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women 114141616
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women 215151717
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats12121414
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats13131515
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee16161818
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 1171788
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2181899

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Carleton CollegeCarleton College Knights991111
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons10101212
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes11111313
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles12121414
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women 115151717
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women 216161818
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats13131515
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats14141616
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee171788
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 1181899
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2881010

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C
Carleton CollegeCarleton College Knights1245
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons2456
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes4568
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles5683
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women 13111213
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women 211121316
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats68311
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats831112
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee1213161
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 1131612
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 216124

Conditions — 04/21/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1017.8 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 4.3 kn
Gusts to 11.9 kn
From E (90°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1017.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · NE 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wisconsin: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.18)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.30
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.22 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.18 means a rating gap counts about 16% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wisconsin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (41 labelled days at Wisconsin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →