University of Wisconsin '15
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.35 (fleet 1.87) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 9–3 (75%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2013 | 1 | 9–3 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (12 matches) the record is 9–3 against 8.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-11-02 | Big Ten Team Race | skipper | 1.57 | 2.13 | 9–3 | 8.7 | +0.56 | 0.1 | 69% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Wisco Womens Women's | Skipper | B | 7 | 1.9 | 3.08 |
| Sugar Bowl | Skipper | A | 9 | 1.0 | 3.08 |
| Fall Fury | Skipper | A | 13 | 4.7 | 1.90 |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Crew | A | 2 | 8.0 | — |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Navy Fall | Skipper | D | 14 | 16.1 | 1.08 |
| 68th Timme Angsten | Skipper | B | 11 | 3.0 | 2.73 |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Streufert Cup | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.0 | 0.79 |
| Fall Fury | Skipper | B | 2 | 6.0 | 1.36 |
| Big Ten Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 75% | — |
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Northwestern Invite | Skipper | A | 5 | 4.8 | 1.49 |
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | D | 12 | 14.6 | 1.60 |
| Navy Spring Womens Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 16.6 | 1.12 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Whitney Kent |  University of Wisconsin Milwaukee |
'15 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
