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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 11 13 24
2 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 20 13 33
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 16 25 41
4 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 26 48 74
5 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 48 30 78
6 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 55 MRP 32 87 MRP
7 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 56 60 116
8 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 63 MRP 64 MRP 127 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 3 11 Laura Wefer '16
Jennifer Burke '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 2 1 2 2 3 4 2 16 Carolyn Keck '19 [1-7]
Korina Hendricks '17 [1-2, 7]
Cara Hanson '18 [3-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 3 3 3 4 1 2 4 20 Kate Klement '17
Katie Hall '16
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 5 5 4 3 5 3 1 26 Isabella Hamilton '17 [1-7]
Maya Smith '19 [1-2]
Emily Johnson '16 [3-6]
Jessica Faragher '19 [7]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 6 7 6 7 DNF 7 6 48 Katherine O'Donnell '19 [1-7]
Elizabeth Philip '18 [1-4]
Claire Howard '18 [5-7]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 4 4 7 6 4 5 5 55 MRP Lane Tobin '18 [1-7]
Sarah Sloan '16 [1-2, 5-7]
Rachel Bailey '18 [3-4]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 8 8 8 8 DNS 8 7 56 Magdalena Franze-Soeln '16 [1-7]
Alexandria Yakes '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Emma Jordan-Wood '19 [3-4, 7]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 7 6 5 5 6 6 8 63 MRP Corinne Sackett '15 [1-7]
Abby Hoovler '16 [1-4]
Maddy Mcsweeney '17 [5-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 5 13 Whitney Kent '15 [1-7]
Caya Mcfalls '16 [1-4]
Susan Luo '17 [5-7]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 1 13 Andrea Sullivan '18
Amelia Shankwitz '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 4 4 2 3 4 5 3 25 Megan Mcmahon '17 [1-7]
Robin Ritchey '18 [1-4]
Virginia Debbink '16 [5-7]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 5 5 4 4 3 3 6 30 Medina Krevans '16
Madeline Deysine '16
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 3 2 5 DNF 5 4 4 32 Alexandra Anderson '19 [1-7]
Sidney Thompson '18 [1-2, 5-7]
Amy Baer '19 [3-4]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 7 DNF DNS DNS 6 6 2 48 Cailin Oakes '18 [1-7]
Bailey Adkins '19 [1-4, 7]
Julia Sachs '19 [5-6]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes DNS DNS DNS DNS 8 8 8 60 Caitlin Chenus '19
Jessica Roy '19
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 6 6 6 5 7 7 7 64 MRP Brittany Mosgo '17 [1-7]
Hannah Brosky '17 [1-4]
Emily Robinson '16 [5-7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes8899121213
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines13131414151516
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers14141515161617
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats991212131314
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes12121313141415
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 11515161617178
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 216161717889
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 31717889912

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes14141515161617
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines1717889912
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers8899121213
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats1515161617178
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes16161717889
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 1991212131314
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 212121313141415
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 313131414151516
School / Team SkipperCrew
Northwestern University Northwestern University Katherine O'Donnell '19 [1-7] Elizabeth Philip '18 [1-4]
Claire Howard '18 [5-7]
Wildcats Medina Krevans '16 Madeline Deysine '16
Ohio State University Ohio State University Corinne Sackett '15 [1-7] Abby Hoovler '16 [1-4]
Maddy Mcsweeney '17 [5-7]
Buckeyes Brittany Mosgo '17 [1-7] Hannah Brosky '17 [1-4]
Emily Robinson '16 [5-7]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Magdalena Franze-Soeln '16 [1-7] Alexandria Yakes '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Emma Jordan-Wood '19 [3-4, 7]
Hawkeyes Caitlin Chenus '19 Jessica Roy '19
University of Michigan University of Michigan Lane Tobin '18 [1-7] Sarah Sloan '16 [1-2, 5-7]
Rachel Bailey '18 [3-4]
Wolverines Alexandra Anderson '19 [1-7] Sidney Thompson '18 [1-2, 5-7]
Amy Baer '19 [3-4]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Isabella Hamilton '17 [1-7] Maya Smith '19 [1-2]
Emily Johnson '16 [3-6]
Jessica Faragher '19 [7]
Gophers Cailin Oakes '18 [1-7] Bailey Adkins '19 [1-4, 7]
Julia Sachs '19 [5-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Laura Wefer '16 Jennifer Burke '16
Badgers 1 Whitney Kent '15 [1-7] Caya Mcfalls '16 [1-4]
Susan Luo '17 [5-7]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Kate Klement '17 Katie Hall '16
Badgers 2 Andrea Sullivan '18 Amelia Shankwitz '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Carolyn Keck '19 [1-7] Korina Hendricks '17 [1-2, 7]
Cara Hanson '18 [3-6]
Badgers 3 Megan Mcmahon '17 [1-7] Robin Ritchey '18 [1-4]
Virginia Debbink '16 [5-7]

Conditions — 10/24/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1010.8 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.4 kn
avg  ·  max 12.6 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From WNW (283°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.5 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1010.8 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 18 kn · W 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wisconsin: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.17)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.59 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 15% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wisconsin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (41 labelled days at Wisconsin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →