Central Series #1

HostMIT/Northeastern
Date03/16/2013
TypeNOT ALLOWED In-Conference
BoatFJ/NC Firefly
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Camels	Camels	36	18	54
2	Bears 1	Bears 1	21	39	60
3	Eagles 1	Eagles 1	44	22	66
4	Eagles 2	Eagles 2	42	34	76
5	Bears 2	Bears 2	55	33	88
6	Engineers	Engineers	37	54	91
7	Angry Beavers	Angry Beavers	43	48	91
8	Terriers	Terriers	57	36	93
9	Huskies	Huskies	45	68	113
10	Buccaneers	Buccaneers	71	53	124
11	Friars	Friars	76	67	143
12	Panthers	Panthers	71	79	150
13	Cardinals	Cardinals	61	94	155
14	Seahawks	Seahawks	76	90	166

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT
Bears 1	Bears 1	7	1	1	1	5	1	5	21
Camels	Camels	3	2	13	3	9	3	3	36
Engineers	Engineers	1	11	2	6	2	11	4	37
Eagles 2	Eagles 2	11	5	9	10	3	2	2	42
Angry Beavers	Angry Beavers	10	3	10	8	1	4	7	43
Eagles 1	Eagles 1	6	4	6	9	7	6	6	44
Huskies	Huskies	2	7	4	2	8	12	10	45
Bears 2	Bears 2	14	12	3	5	11	9	1	55
Terriers	Terriers	5	6	11	13	4	10	8	57
Cardinals	Cardinals	4	8	7	12	10	7	13	61
Buccaneers	Buccaneers	8	14	8	14	13	5	9	71
Panthers	Panthers	13	9	14	4	6	14	11	71
Seahawks	Seahawks	9	10	12	11	14	8	12	76
Friars	Friars	12	13	5	7	12	13	14	76

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT
Camels	Camels	1	1	2	3	2	8	1	18
Eagles 1	Eagles 1	4	5	1	2	3	2	5	22
Bears 2	Bears 2	7	7	4	4	1	1	9	33
Eagles 2	Eagles 2	3	4	3	8	4	5	7	34
Terriers	Terriers	2	2	9	9	5	7	2	36
Bears 1	Bears 1	10	3	6	5	6	3	6	39
Angry Beavers	Angry Beavers	5	9	8	1	8	9	8	48
Buccaneers	Buccaneers	11	8	5	6	9	11	3	53
Engineers	Engineers	6	6	7	12	7	6	10	54
Friars	Friars	8	12	11	10	10	4	12	67
Huskies	Huskies	9	10	10	7	11	10	11	68
Panthers	Panthers	14	11	14	11	13	12	4	79
Seahawks	Seahawks	13	13	12	13	12	14	13	90
Cardinals	Cardinals	12	14	13	14	14	13	14	94

Boat Speed Analyzer

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Eagles 1 Eagles 1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4
Eagles 2 Eagles 2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5
Terriers Terriers	5	5	6	6	7	7	8
Bears 1 Bears 1	3	3	4	4	5	5	6
Bears 2 Bears 2	4	4	5	5	6	6	7
Camels Camels	6	6	7	7	8	8	9
Buccaneers Buccaneers	10	10	11	11	12	12	13
Panthers Panthers	7	7	8	8	9	9	10
Angry Beavers Angry Beavers	9	9	10	10	11	11	12
Engineers Engineers	8	8	9	9	10	10	11
Huskies Huskies	11	11	12	12	13	13	14
Friars Friars	12	12	13	13	14	14	1
Seahawks Seahawks	13	13	14	14	1	1	2
Cardinals Cardinals	14	14	1	1	2	2	3

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Eagles 1 Eagles 1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4
Eagles 2 Eagles 2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5
Terriers Terriers	5	5	6	6	7	7	8
Bears 1 Bears 1	3	3	4	4	5	5	6
Bears 2 Bears 2	4	4	5	5	6	6	7
Camels Camels	6	6	7	7	8	8	9
Buccaneers Buccaneers	10	10	11	11	12	12	13
Panthers Panthers	7	7	8	8	9	9	10
Angry Beavers Angry Beavers	9	9	10	10	11	11	12
Engineers Engineers	8	8	9	9	10	10	11
Huskies Huskies	11	11	12	12	13	13	14
Friars Friars	12	12	13	13	14	14	1
Seahawks Seahawks	13	13	14	14	1	1	2
Cardinals Cardinals	14	14	1	1	2	2	3

Conditions — 03/16/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 67% · Pressure 1008.3 hPa

Temperature

42°F

↑ 44°F ↓ 38°F

Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

6.3 kn

avg · max 8.1 kn

Gusts to 15.7 kn

From ENE (78°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover96% Sunshine1.4 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1008.3 hPa Rain0.09 in

What this breeze does at MIT/Northeastern — from fleet racing

Breeze: E about 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In fleet races at MIT/Northeastern in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.02)

Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT/Northeastern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at MIT/Northeastern: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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