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Nelson Rolsch Intersectional

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 10 19 29
2 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 13 25 38
3 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 29 14 43
4 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 47 9 56
5 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 40 41 81
6 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 47 39 86
7 Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 38 49 87
8 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 37 54 91
9 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 51 MRP 41 MRP 92 MRP
10 University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 61 53 114
11 Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist 82 MRP 82 MRP 164 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 2 2 1 1 2 10 Jessica Oswalt '16 [1-6]
Lee Evans '13 [1-4]
Katherine Walsh '15 [5-6]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 3 1 2 2 4 13 John Reddaway '15
Chris Walton '16
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 8 4 4 3 5 5 29 Michael Sager '15
Jacob Hafemeister '16
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 6 5 10 4 4 8 37 Megan Woodring '14 [1-6]
Megan English '16 [1-4]
Michael Hearn '13 [5-6]
Auburn University Auburn University Auburn OCS 1 3 OCS 7 3 38 Brett Merrill '15
Thomas Andrews '13
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 4 8 6 OCS 3 7 40 Ryan Murphy '15
Kayla Sjoberg '14
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 3 6 8 OCS 9 9 47 Matthew Zampa '15 [1-6]
Izora Baltys '15 [1-4]
Ellen Garrison '15 [5-6]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 7 9 5 OCS 8 6 47 Travis Conger '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Travis James '13 [3-4]
Lauren Ostrowski '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Caitlyn Locklar '16 [3-4]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 5 7 7 5 6 1 51 MRP Kevin Condit '13
Rebecca Jegier '15
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 9 10 9 OCS 10 11 61 Ryan Schwend '13 [1-4]
Eileen Blute '16 [5-6]
Eileen Blute '16 [1-4]
Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist DNF DNF 11 6 11 10 82 MRP May Denassi '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 9 Colin Feik '13
Victoria Garibay '15
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 4 5 1 2 1 1 14 Trey Hartman '15
Daniela Perrigo '14
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 3 4 4 3 3 19 Michael Swanson '16
Susan Herndon '15
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 2 5 5 BYE BYE 25 Abhay Baliga '14
Elizabeth Rahn '15
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 7 6 7 8 5 6 39 Emily Fontaine '14
Noah Aldonas '13
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3 4 3 3 4 4 41 MRP Peter Roehmholdt '14
Claire Lupo '15
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 6 7 8 6 7 7 41 Paige Meineke '14
Brittney Crawford '15
Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 8 8 10 DNF 6 5 49 Logan Little '12 [1-6]
Henry Risberg '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Cailyn Gray '16 [3-4]
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 10 11 6 7 10 9 53 Casey Crossland '13 [1-4]
Aj Smith '13 [5-6]
Mary Bickemchiz '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Parrymen '15 [3-4]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 9 10 9 9 9 8 54 Katherine Biancardi '15
Ataly Asher '15
Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist DNF 9 11 10 8 DNF 82 MRP Micheal D-Klein '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Auburn1111111212
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets11121233
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas1010111111
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats334455
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish12123344
Southern Methodist UniversitySouthern Methodist University Southern Methodist445566
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1556677
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2667788
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1778899
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 288991010
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave9910101111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Auburn445566
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets116677
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas1111111212
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats778899
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish667788
Southern Methodist UniversitySouthern Methodist University Southern Methodist55121233
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 19910101111
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 21010111111
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 188991010
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2334455
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave12123344
School / Team SkipperCrew
Auburn University Auburn University Brett Merrill '15 Thomas Andrews '13
Auburn Logan Little '12 [1-6] Henry Risberg '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Cailyn Gray '16 [3-4]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology John Reddaway '15 Chris Walton '16
Yellow Jackets Abhay Baliga '14 Elizabeth Rahn '15
Northwestern University Northwestern University Matthew Zampa '15 [1-6] Izora Baltys '15 [1-4]
Ellen Garrison '15 [5-6]
Wildcats Emily Fontaine '14 Noah Aldonas '13
Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist University May Denassi '14
Southern Methodist Micheal D-Klein '15
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Travis Conger '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Travis James '13 [3-4]		 Lauren Ostrowski '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Caitlyn Locklar '16 [3-4]
Aggies 1 Colin Feik '13 Victoria Garibay '15
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Megan Woodring '14 [1-6] Megan English '16 [1-4]
Michael Hearn '13 [5-6]
Aggies 2 Katherine Biancardi '15 Ataly Asher '15
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Michael Sager '15 Jacob Hafemeister '16
Aggies 1 Trey Hartman '15 Daniela Perrigo '14
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Ryan Murphy '15 Kayla Sjoberg '14
Aggies 2 Paige Meineke '14 Brittney Crawford '15
Tulane University Tulane University Jessica Oswalt '16 [1-6] Lee Evans '13 [1-4]
Katherine Walsh '15 [5-6]
Green Wave Michael Swanson '16 Susan Herndon '15
University of North Texas University of North Texas Ryan Schwend '13 [1-4]
Eileen Blute '16 [5-6]		 Eileen Blute '16 [1-4]
North Texas Casey Crossland '13 [1-4]
Aj Smith '13 [5-6]		 Mary Bickemchiz '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Parrymen '15 [3-4]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Kevin Condit '13 Rebecca Jegier '15
Fighting Irish Peter Roehmholdt '14 Claire Lupo '15

Conditions — 02/09/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1021.8 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.6 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From E (98°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1021.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · S 16 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tulane: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.28 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →