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SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 10 3 13
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 6 9 15
3 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 8 17 25
4 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 7 19 26
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 21 8 29
6 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 21 11 32
7 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 15 22 37
8 Clemson University Clemson University orange 20 19 39
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars224
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers113
Clemson UniversityClemson University orange888
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils335
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets446
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack557
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers772
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks661

Division B

Team1B2B3B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars335
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers224
Clemson UniversityClemson University orange888
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils446
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets557
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack661
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers113
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks772

Conditions — 03/09/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1024.5 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 29°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.0 kn
avg  ·  max 4.2 kn
Gusts to 12.8 kn
From SW (215°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1024.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tennessee: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.33 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tennessee by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Tennessee, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →