Drexel Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 17 14 31
2 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 24 22 46
3 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 18 30 48
4 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 31 39 70
5 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 45 30 75
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 4 2 2 3 1 2 1 1 17 Alex Dzinbal '17
James Codega '14
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 4 1 1 1 1 3 3 2 2 18 Liam Boyle '16
Alina Robinson '17
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 2 3 4 4 2 2 1 3 3 24 Jeffrey Proko '18
Tracy Venella '16
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 3 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 31 Evan Shone '17
Megan Mccreesh '15
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 45 Cruz Vargas '15 [1-2, 5, 7]
Justin Morena '17 [3-4, 6, 8-9]
Justin Morena '17 [1-2, 5, 7]
Cruz Vargas '15 [3-4, 6, 8-9]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 14 James Morrissey '17 [1-9]
Brianna Louie '17 [1-4]
Kurt Gavel '16 [5-9]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 5 2 5 2 2 2 2 1 1 22 Robert Stricek '15 [1-9]
Ashley Paulino '15 [1-8]
Tracy Venella '16 [9]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 3 3 5 5 4 4 2 3 30 Steven Ho '16 [1-9]
Audrey Harnagel '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Joseph Mattis '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 3 4 2 3 3 5 3 3 4 30 Alexandra Stapienski '16
Megan Clark '14
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 4 5 4 4 4 3 5 5 5 39 Tyler Wyatt '17
Teddy Straus '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens334455112
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons112233445
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings223344551
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers445511223
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers551122334

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens334455112
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons112233445
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings223344551
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers445511223
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers551122334
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Jeffrey Proko '18 Tracy Venella '16
Dragons Robert Stricek '15 [1-9] Ashley Paulino '15 [1-8]
Tracy Venella '16 [9]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Liam Boyle '16 Alina Robinson '17
Vikings Alexandra Stapienski '16 Megan Clark '14
University of Delaware University of Delaware Evan Shone '17 Megan Mccreesh '15
Blue Hens Tyler Wyatt '17 Teddy Straus '17
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Cruz Vargas '15 [1-2, 5, 7]
Justin Morena '17 [3-4, 6, 8-9]
Justin Morena '17 [1-2, 5, 7]
Cruz Vargas '15 [3-4, 6, 8-9]
Quakers Steven Ho '16 [1-9] Audrey Harnagel '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Joseph Mattis '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Alex Dzinbal '17 James Codega '14
Clippers James Morrissey '17 [1-9] Brianna Louie '17 [1-4]
Kurt Gavel '16 [5-9]

Conditions — 05/03/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1010.1 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.4 kn
Gusts to 22.2 kn
From SSW (202°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1010.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn · W 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Drexel: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Drexel by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Drexel, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →