Engineer's Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 28 11 39
2 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 28 24 52
3 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 35 23 58
4 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 13 58 71
5 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 31 45 76
6 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 43 33 76
7 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 50 41 91
8 Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 60 53 113
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 3 2 2 1 1 1 2 13 Jack Swikart '15
Joseph Mattis '17
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 3 1 7 5 5 4 2 1 28 Alex Dzinbal '17 [1-6]
Cody Stansky '16 [7-8]
Zachary Backas '16 [1-6]
Casey Brown '16 [7-8]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 4 4 3 1 6 2 3 5 28 Thomas Burke '15
Mackenzie Kurten '15
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 5 2 1 3 3 6 8 3 31 Tracy Venella '16
Elizabeth Jarvie '18
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 2 6 5 4 4 3 5 6 35 Jonah Burke-Kleinman '16
Nick Schwenger '16
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 6 5 8 6 2 5 4 7 43 Caitlin Mcewen '14
Chelsea Wright '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 7 7 4 8 7 7 6 4 50 Peter Heinbockel '16
Patrick Scollard '17
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 8 8 6 7 8 8 7 8 60 Malin Ludwig '17
Daniel Klarnet '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 3 11 James Morrissey '17 [1-8]
Brianna Louie '17 [1-4]
Michael Imbesi '17 [5-8]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 4 3 3 3 4 3 2 1 23 Nicholas Wright '16
Samuel Thompson '17
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 6 4 2 1 2 2 3 4 24 Joseph Finley '14 [1-2]
Ted Wingender '14 [3-8]
Megan Clark '14 [1-2]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 2 7 5 5 3 4 5 2 33 Kate Ranney '15
Victoria Long '17
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 3 8 4 4 5 8 4 5 41 Wardlaw Skinner '17
Jamie Collins '16
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 5 2 6 6 8 5 6 7 45 Cooper Voigt '18
Ashley Paulino '15
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 8 5 7 7 6 7 7 6 53 Van Huynh '15
Zachary Minot '14
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 7 6 8 8 7 6 8 8 58 Justin Morena '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Cruz Vargas '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Cruz Vargas '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Justin Morena '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens66882244
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons11335577
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners55771133
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings22446688
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers77113355
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels33557711
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers44668822
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers88224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens77113355
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons22446688
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners66882244
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings33557711
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers88224466
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels44668822
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers55771133
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers11335577

Conditions — 05/10/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1012.1 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 10.4 kn
Gusts to 21.4 kn
From WSW (240°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine8.4 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1012.1 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn · W 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Webb Institute: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.38 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Webb Institute by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Webb Institute, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →