Navigate

Freshman Icebreaker

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 33 29 62
2 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 28 36 64
3 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 38 29 67
4 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 37 65 102
5 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 63 42 105
6 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 61 48 109
7 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 54 81 135
8 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 82 68 150
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 4 4 3 6 2 2 1 1 2 2 28 Andrew Rush '17
Connor Basile '17
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 3 1 1 1 7 3 3 4 3 4 3 33 Jack Greve '15 [1-11]
Blake Utz '16 [1-2]
Roger Dixon '11 [3-4, 9-10]
Anne Borema '14 [5-6, 11]
Galina Vander Meer '16 [7-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 4 2 2 2 4 5 1 6 2 3 6 37 Michael Maas-Hull '17 [1-11]
Lauren Jones '17 [1-4, 9-10]
Gabriela Meagher '15 [5-6]
Elizabeth Strehlow '17 [7-8]
William Pensyl '17 [11]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 7 3 3 6 1 1 6 5 4 1 1 38 Colin Mackay '17
Nicholas Arceo '17
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 6 7 6 4 3 6 5 2 5 5 5 54 Addison Amstutz '19 [1-2, 5-6, 11]
Abigail Barnes '15 [3-4, 7-10]
Casey Blashill '17 [1-2, 5-6, 11]
Amanda Hennells '16 [3-4, 7-10]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 5 5 5 5 4 7 7 6 8 7 61 Zach Nerod '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
James Hewitt '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Mitchell Kimball '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 8 6 8 7 2 7 4 3 8 6 4 63 Conor Daniel Claflin '17
Pat O'Connell '17
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 5 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 8 82 Katherine Schneeberger '17 [1-4, 9-10]
Gabriela Yelton '16 [5-8]
Conor Bradley '13 [11]
Mary Williams '17 [1-2]
Lissa Stachnik '16 [3-4]
Emma English '17 [5-6]
Skye Mooney '16 [7-8]
Eileen Mctigue '17 [9-10]
Dan Thompson '17 [11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 1 2 1 6 3 5 2 1 3 1 4 29 Thomas Hilton '14 [1-11]
Alexandra Brown '17 [1-2]
William Depew '17 [3-4]
Katie Cooley '17 [5-6]
Robert O'Brien '16 [7-8]
Blake Utz '16 [9-10]
Jack Greve '15 [11]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 3 1 4 1 1 1 3 3 7 2 3 29 Drew Blackburn '17
Evon Deprey '17
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 4 3 2 4 2 4 4 2 4 5 36 Emily Schneider '17 [1-11]
Stacey Nash '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Maxwell Maguire '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Andrew Rush '17 [11]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 5 3 5 7 2 4 6 2 4 3 1 42 John O'Rourke '17 [1-8]
Tom Smuchush '16 [9-11]
Drew Boodie '09 [1-8]
Abraham Stamper '17 [9-11]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 4 7 6 3 6 3 1 7 1 8 2 48 Nicholas Lipinski '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Cooper Depriest '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Tyler Davidson '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 6 6 DSQ 4 5 6 7 5 6 5 6 65 Benny Richmond '17 [1-8]
Bizzy Berg '17 [9-11]
Zachary Bequette '17 [1-2, 11]
Meaghan Haley '17 [3-4]
Ali Marnaro '15 [5-6]
Macasha Demarto '17 [7-8]
Helen Hakharza '17 [9-10]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 8 5 2 5 8 8 5 6 8 6 7 68 Patricia Morrow '17 [1-8]
Sarah Devitt '17 [9-11]
Caroline Genco '17 [1-2]
Sarah Eide '14 [3-4]
Conor Bradley '13 [5-6]
Meghan Grojean '17 [7-8]
Andrew Hildreth '17 [9-10]
Alessandro Disanto '15 [11]
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 7 8 7 8 7 7 DNF 8 5 7 8 81 Gary Micu Jr '16 [1-7, 9-11]
Daniel Veryser '17 [8]
Daniel Veryser '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Hannah Wasserbaech '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers11223344556
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles22334455667
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines44556677881
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 155667788112
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 266778811223
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes33445566778
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets77881122334
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan88112233445

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers11223344556
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles22334455667
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines44556677881
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 155667788112
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 266778811223
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes33445566778
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets77881122334
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan88112233445
School / Team SkipperCrew
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Addison Amstutz '19 [1-2, 5-6, 11]
Abigail Barnes '15 [3-4, 7-10]		 Casey Blashill '17 [1-2, 5-6, 11]
Amanda Hennells '16 [3-4, 7-10]
Lakers Gary Micu Jr '16 [1-7, 9-11]
Daniel Veryser '17 [8]		 Daniel Veryser '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Hannah Wasserbaech '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Marquette University Marquette University Conor Daniel Claflin '17 Pat O'Connell '17
Golden Eagles John O'Rourke '17 [1-8]
Tom Smuchush '16 [9-11]		 Drew Boodie '09 [1-8]
Abraham Stamper '17 [9-11]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Andrew Rush '17 Connor Basile '17
Buckeyes Emily Schneider '17 [1-11] Stacey Nash '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Maxwell Maguire '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Andrew Rush '17 [11]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Zach Nerod '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
James Hewitt '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11]		 Mitchell Kimball '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Wolverines Nicholas Lipinski '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Cooper Depriest '17 [3-4, 7-8]		 Tyler Davidson '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Michael Maas-Hull '17 [1-11] Lauren Jones '17 [1-4, 9-10]
Gabriela Meagher '15 [5-6]
Elizabeth Strehlow '17 [7-8]
William Pensyl '17 [11]
Fighting Irish 1 Benny Richmond '17 [1-8]
Bizzy Berg '17 [9-11]		 Zachary Bequette '17 [1-2, 11]
Meaghan Haley '17 [3-4]
Ali Marnaro '15 [5-6]
Macasha Demarto '17 [7-8]
Helen Hakharza '17 [9-10]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Katherine Schneeberger '17 [1-4, 9-10]
Gabriela Yelton '16 [5-8]
Conor Bradley '13 [11]		 Mary Williams '17 [1-2]
Lissa Stachnik '16 [3-4]
Emma English '17 [5-6]
Skye Mooney '16 [7-8]
Eileen Mctigue '17 [9-10]
Dan Thompson '17 [11]
Fighting Irish 2 Patricia Morrow '17 [1-8]
Sarah Devitt '17 [9-11]		 Caroline Genco '17 [1-2]
Sarah Eide '14 [3-4]
Conor Bradley '13 [5-6]
Meghan Grojean '17 [7-8]
Andrew Hildreth '17 [9-10]
Alessandro Disanto '15 [11]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Colin Mackay '17 Nicholas Arceo '17
Rockets Drew Blackburn '17 Evon Deprey '17
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Jack Greve '15 [1-11] Blake Utz '16 [1-2]
Roger Dixon '11 [3-4, 9-10]
Anne Borema '14 [5-6, 11]
Galina Vander Meer '16 [7-8]
Western Michigan Thomas Hilton '14 [1-11] Alexandra Brown '17 [1-2]
William Depew '17 [3-4]
Katie Cooley '17 [5-6]
Robert O'Brien '16 [7-8]
Blake Utz '16 [9-10]
Jack Greve '15 [11]

Conditions — 03/22/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1021.2 hPa

Temperature

37°F
↑ 40°F   ↓ 32°F
Feels like 28°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.8 kn
Gusts to 21.6 kn
From NW (324°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine6.5 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1021.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn · NE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Notre Dame: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.26
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.45 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Notre Dame by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Notre Dame, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →