Southern Series 7

HostRhode Island
Date04/26/2014
TypeNOT ALLOWED In-Conference
BoatFJ
ScoringCombined

#	School	Team	TOT
1	Hawks	Hawks	258
2	Jumbos	Jumbos	267
3	Terriers	Terriers	277
4	Camels	Camels	288
5	Rams	Rams	299
6	Bears	Bears	367
7	Bears	Bears	368
8	Huskies	Huskies	415
9	Seahawks	Seahawks	541

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	R15	R16	R17	R18	TOT
Jumbos	Jumbos A	9	1	9	6	6	6	3	DSQ	5	5	5	3	1	3	4	5	1	9	100
Terriers	Terriers A	11	3	2	1	2	5	4	10	4	15	12	4	2	6	6	10	2	3	102
Hawks	Hawks A	12	15	3	9	7	3	15	4	2	17	6	5	3	5	1	3	3	7	120
Camels	Camels A	7	13	13	3	9	13	9	8	1	2	2	7	6	8	7	12	7	5	132
Hawks	Hawks B	4	8	17	5	12	16	8	14	16	7	1	1	9	1	3	2	10	4	138
Rams	Rams A	2	2	8	8	1	8	18	2	6	14	15	2	12	10	13	7	9	2	139
Bears	Bears A	8	7	12	4	4	7	1	1	12	11	9	12	7	2	17	9	6	12	141
Camels	Camels B	10	12	6	2	11	1	10	9	7	4	7	8	17	13	2	15	12	10	156
Rams	Rams B	5	6	5	13	8	11	11	7	3	10	4	16	4	7	12	16	11	11	160
Jumbos	Jumbos B	6	5	15	14	10	2	7	6	9	6	3	11	10	12	14	14	15	8	167
Bears	Bears A	1	9	1	11	3	10	5	5	10	8	17	13	11	9	8	13	17	17	168
Terriers	Terriers B	17	10	14	7	15	12	2	11	13	13	16	6	8	11	5	4	5	6	175
Huskies	Huskies B	13	11	10	12	14	14	6	3	8	3	14	15	13	14	9	8	16	1	184
Bears	Bears B	3	4	11	10	5	4	13	13	11	1	11	18	18	17	15	11	18	16	199
Bears	Bears B	14	14	18	18	18	15	17	17	17	18	10	9	5	4	10	6	4	13	227
Huskies	Huskies A	18	17	7	15	16	9	16	12	14	12	13	10	14	15	11	1	13	18	231
Seahawks	Seahawks B	15	16	4	16	17	18	14	16	18	9	18	14	15	DNF	18	18	8	14	267
Seahawks	Seahawks A	16	18	16	17	13	17	12	15	15	16	8	17	16	16	16	17	14	15	274

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.080+0.08

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A	12A	13A	14A	15A	16A	17A	18A
Terriers Terriers	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Bears Bears	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Bears Bears	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Camels Camels	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Huskies Huskies	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Rams Rams	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Hawks Hawks	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Seahawks Seahawks	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Jumbos Jumbos	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B	11B	12B	13B	14B	15B	16B	17B	18B
Terriers Terriers	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Bears Bears	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Bears Bears	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Camels Camels	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Huskies Huskies	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Rams Rams	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Hawks Hawks	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Seahawks Seahawks	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
Jumbos Jumbos	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17

Conditions — 04/26/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 90% · Pressure 1008.5 hPa

Temperature

46°F

↑ 48°F ↓ 44°F

Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

7.2 kn

avg · max 9.4 kn

Gusts to 15.6 kn

From ENE (66°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1008.5 hPa Rain0.35 in

What this breeze does at Rhode Island — from fleet racing

Breeze: NE about 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In fleet races at Rhode Island in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.02)

Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled fleet-race days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu